Author
@PolycarpFX PolycarpFX
grade Bx.com/PolycarpFX ↗
Seasonality-and-intermarket chartist using Korea as a tech-top tell
Publishes chart-driven, base-rate and seasonality frameworks
trader score
+1.12
hit rate
50%
mean α
+0.40%
signals 14d
59
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, +0.40% mean alpha, trader score +1.12. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.6% since posting (mean over 44 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | MRK | @PolycarpFX | -0.70 | Reports MRK puts already rising from $2.50 to above $6.50. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPY | @PolycarpFX | +0.00 | References an unseen Jackson Hole trading roadmap for SPY. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NVDA | @PolycarpFX | +0.35 | Checkmark conveys approval of NVDA, but linked context is unavailable. | +3.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | SLV | @PolycarpFX | -0.35 | Recaps exiting a SLV short before a subsequent decline. | -2.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | MRK | @PolycarpFX | -0.25 | Warns of potential profit-taking in MRK. | -3.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | CRM | @PolycarpFX | +0.00 | References CRM pattern analysis without visible chart details. | +24.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NVDA | @PolycarpFX | +0.00 | Promotes market trade ideas, but the linked analysis is unavailable. | +3.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | SPY | @PolycarpFX | +0.00 | Promotes market trade ideas, but the linked analysis is unavailable. | +0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | QQQ | @PolycarpFX | +0.00 | Promotes market trade ideas, but the linked analysis is unavailable. | +0.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | JNJ | @PolycarpFX | +0.00 | Flags a large recent IXJ print and notes the ETF is extended on short time frames. | -0.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | LLY | @PolycarpFX | +0.00 | Flags a large recent IXJ print and notes the ETF is extended on short time frames. | -1.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | MRK | @PolycarpFX | +0.00 | Flags a large recent IXJ print and notes the ETF is extended on short time frames. | -3.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | IXJ | @PolycarpFX | +0.00 | Flags a large recent IXJ print and notes the ETF is extended on short time frames. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | UNH | @PolycarpFX | +0.00 | Flags a large recent IXJ print and notes the ETF is extended on short time frames. | -2.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | VKTX | @PolycarpFX | +0.60 | Likes VKTX into upcoming catalysts and sees accumulation in the low $30s. | -6.5% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.