@PolycarpFX PolycarpFX

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

PolycarpFX is mostly running short-term technical and positioning reads, not deep fundamental single-name theses. The window centers on gold seasonality, weak energy/oil setup expressed through XLE/SCO, semiconductor caution, and gap-fill levels across large-cap tech/software. Late in the window, the only explicit directional call was to prepare downside hedges, puts, or shorts next week while allowing for later strength into July 17.

The author’s conviction is concentrated in tactical chart and seasonality work: GLD bounce/setup, weak energy via XLE/SCO, semiconductor index caution, and gap-fill tracking across large-cap tech. The only explicit trade instruction came on June 18, when they called for downside hedges, puts, or shorts next week while still allowing strength into July 17. No position disclosures were present, so sizing and actual ownership are unclear.

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.