@pradeeepk pradeeepk
Bottom-up SaaS and AI-infra fundamentalist running alt-data-driven long/short theses
Posts original, KPI- and alt-data-grounded fundamental these
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.36% mean alpha, trader score -0.99. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +4.4% since posting (mean over 26 mentions with price data).
Author is mainly leaning long software and select media/gaming names, with ADSK the clearest repeated valuation call and NFLX the only explicit add. Distinctive reads center on ADSK deserving a higher multiple, BKNG catching up to ABNB after geopolitical risk clears, and TTWO demand data around GTA6. No clear flip or fade is evident; the only explicit trade action was adding NFLX mid-window.
Conviction is concentrated in bullish software valuation calls, especially ADSK, alongside TTWO demand catalysts and a disclosed NFLX add. There is no clear evidence of a flip or fade in the provided window; the only explicit action was adding NFLX on 2026-06-17. ADSK and TTWO are the main concentration flags, while LION is the only clearly bearish readthrough from the Netflix no-interest clarification.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | AMD | @pradeeepk | -0.40 | Says MediaTek will eat NVDA, AVGO and AMD margins. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NVDA | @pradeeepk | -0.40 | Says MediaTek will eat NVDA, AVGO and AMD margins. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AVGO | @pradeeepk | -0.40 | Says MediaTek will eat NVDA, AVGO and AMD margins. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AMD | @pradeeepk | -0.25 | Says it is raining ASICs, implying competitive pressure on GPU names. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NVDA | @pradeeepk | -0.25 | Says it is raining ASICs, implying competitive pressure on GPU names. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | META | @pradeeepk | +0.00 | Says Mediatek is taking AVGO customers, after GOOGL now META. | -4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | AVGO | @pradeeepk | -0.45 | Says Mediatek is taking AVGO customers, after GOOGL now META. | -2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | GOOGL | @pradeeepk | +0.00 | Says Mediatek is taking AVGO customers, after GOOGL now META. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @pradeeepk | · | Says software optimisations are a risk to semis. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @pradeeepk | · | Says software optimisation is risk to semis. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @pradeeepk | · | Says software optimisation is a risk to semis. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | NVDA | @pradeeepk | +0.40 | Brief bullish NVDA alpha mention. | -2.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | NVDA | @pradeeepk | +0.50 | SemiAnalysis says NVDA 2H estimates are too low. | -0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-28 | NFLX | @pradeeepk | +0.30 | NFLX churn reportedly remained stable after 2026 price hike. | +5.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-28 | NFLX | @pradeeepk | +0.30 | Morgan Stanley media survey says NFLX engagement is on top. | +5.2% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.