Author

@pradeeepk pradeeepk

Bottom-up SaaS and AI-infra fundamentalist running alt-data-driven long/short theses

Posts original, KPI- and alt-data-grounded fundamental these

trader score
-0.01
hit rate
70%
mean α
-0.01%
signals 14d
28

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 70% hit rate, -0.01% mean alpha, trader score -0.01. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +6.0% since posting (mean over 22 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-15TTWO@pradeeepk+0.20Quotes management saying its engine, tools, and team should accelerate future development.-2.7%
2026-10-15TTWO@pradeeepk+0.45Views AI-accelerated PC porting as positive for launch timing and costs.-2.7%
2026-10-11MCD@pradeeepk+0.20States September quick-service restaurant visit growth was the strongest since April.+5.6%
2026-10-10META@pradeeepk-0.65Explicitly predicts that Meta's Muse product will fail.-10.6%
2026-10-08BKNG@pradeeepk+0.55Cites Goldman data showing BKNG and Priceline US app users outperforming despite META Muse concerns.-2.6%
2026-10-08META@pradeeepk-0.10Cites Goldman data showing BKNG and Priceline US app users outperforming despite META Muse concerns.-10.9%
2026-10-08META@pradeeepk-0.35Says Muse daily users have stayed near two million for ten days and hype is fading.-10.9%
2026-10-08TTWO@pradeeepk+0.55Expects GTA6 leaks to increase launch sales by millions of copies.-2.7%
2026-10-08BKNG@pradeeepk+0.15Cites Jefferies finding only a third of sites work seamlessly with Muse, delaying META commerce monetization.-2.6%
2026-10-08META@pradeeepk-0.45Cites Jefferies finding only a third of sites work seamlessly with Muse, delaying META commerce monetization.-10.9%
2026-10-07MCD@pradeeepk+0.25September was the strongest month for quick-service restaurant foot traffic since April.+7.6%
2026-10-07BNKG@pradeeepk+0.20Website traffic growth is described as satisfactory.·
2026-10-06BKNG@pradeeepk+0.60Warns Muse access failures could hurt META while calling BKNG too cheap.-1.1%
2026-10-06META@pradeeepk-0.60Warns Muse access failures could hurt META while calling BKNG too cheap.-13.0%
2026-10-06BLDR@pradeeepk+0.30Notes year-over-year growth in August single-family housing starts.+1.1%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.