Author · brief 2026-06-22

@profplum99 profplum99

Named PM with original mechanistic theory of passive flows and market structure

Develops and defends an original framework on how passive/in

trader score
·
hit rate
·
mean α
·
signals 14d
6

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +11.4% since posting (mean over 2 mentions with price data).

Cautious on DFA ETF growth interpretation

This window contains only one non-ticker cautious sentiment signal, focused on interpreting DFA ETF growth as mutual fund rotation rather than true active-management growth. There are no ticker-anchored calls, position disclosures, or news breaks to evaluate.

Direction this week

Insufficient ticker-level evidence to assess trade direction, conviction, or concentration. The only signal is a cautious non-ticker comment that DFA ETF growth reflects rotation from mutual funds rather than expansion of active demand.

Best hypotheses1their highest-scoring claims in our index
Fee pressure in ETFs makes BlackRock-style diversification into alternatives and higher-fee niches strategically importa
neutralHIGH2 co-supporters
Recent signals6receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02·@profplum99·Interprets a chart on self-employed unincorporated workers and tax reform effects.·
2026-07-01·@profplum99·Says Truflation may be more accurate and useful for diagnosing a Fed error.·
2026-06-26SOXL@profplum99-0.55Levered ETFs, especially SOXL, seen as likely candidate for another Volmaggedon.-15.8%
2026-06-25·@profplum99·Small cap value beat S&P after Covid lows but underperformed over five years.·
2026-06-24MU@profplum99-0.25Warns larger winners can fall and cites Bloomberg analyst on AI memory capacity control.-7.0%
2026-06-22·@profplum99·Argues many active ETFs are not truly active and active flows remain negative net of mutual funds.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.