@R_and_Invest R_and_Invest
Supply-chain-driven semis/memory bull who models AI compute constraints to specific names
Builds bottom-up fundamental and supply-chain theses on the
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, +0.37% mean alpha, trader score +0.54. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.7% since posting (mean over 190 mentions with price data).
The author is most clearly leaning long META, arguing its ads base, user data, and AI capex can create durable upside, with a relative call that META will exceed SPCX within a year. They are constructive on Reddit data monetization, AI infrastructure beneficiaries like NVDA and AVGO, and memory demand, while warning on IONQ and INTC credibility. Late-window activity adds fresh positive datapoints on AVGO, MU, DRAM, ZM, and META rather than a clean flip.
Conviction is concentrated in META, where the author repeatedly argues for ads resilience, data advantage, defensible AI capex, and upside versus SPCX. The week is mixed across tech: constructive on Reddit monetization, AI infrastructure, AVGO, MU, DRAM, ZM, and TTWO, while clearly bearish on IONQ and INTC. Pump-risk is highest in META and RDDT because they dominate their respective themes.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | SPCX | @R_and_Invest | +0.00 | States deal pricing at $48B/GW without stance or trade intent. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | GOOGL | @R_and_Invest | +0.00 | States deal pricing at $48B/GW without stance or trade intent. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @R_and_Invest | +0.55 | Argues market underreacted to Anthropic-style deal note and flywheel effect. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | QQQ | @R_and_Invest | +0.00 | Notes oil on track down 40% alongside market ETF tags. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SMH | @R_and_Invest | +0.00 | Notes oil on track down 40% alongside market ETF tags. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SPY | @R_and_Invest | +0.00 | Notes oil on track down 40% alongside market ETF tags. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @R_and_Invest | · | Compares reported inflation, Trueflation, housing contribution, and actual inflation estimate. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | QQQ | @R_and_Invest | +0.35 | Says bond market indicates QQQ and SMH decline was wrong. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SMH | @R_and_Invest | +0.35 | Says bond market indicates QQQ and SMH decline was wrong. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @R_and_Invest | -0.35 | Criticizes Meta treatment of users and says deleted Facebook despite being shareholder. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AEHR | @R_and_Invest | -0.55 | Says AEHR could have been short of the century like AXTI, implying bearish view. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AXTI | @R_and_Invest | -0.35 | Says AEHR could have been short of the century like AXTI, implying bearish view. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IREN | @R_and_Invest | +0.35 | Revises prior criticism and says equity issuance may improve ROI after stock fell 50%. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @R_and_Invest | · | Says not bearish and valuation now 7-8x PE, but no ticker named. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | GOOGL | @R_and_Invest | +0.45 | Trusts Google on memory efficiency and TPU/HBM decisions. | — | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.