Author

@RhoRider RhoRider

Mechanistic perma-bear dissecting the MSTR/Bitcoin funding loop, oil supply, and AI bubble

Posts dense, sarcastic bearish macro and capital-structure a

trader score
-1.18
hit rate
45%
mean α
-1.05%
signals 14d
133

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -1.05% mean alpha, trader score -1.18. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -5.6% since posting (mean over 22 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@RhoRider·Reports a recent escalation in Iranian attacks on shipping, with impacts not yet known.·
2026-08-28·@RhoRider·Reports a 65 billion-barrel Venezuela oil deal and concurrent attacks on tankers near Iran.·
2026-08-28·@RhoRider·Predicts the referenced policymaker will reduce the balance sheet eventually.·
2026-08-28DXY@RhoRider+0.55Explains a hawkish-policy regime that strengthened DXY and unwound the debasement trade.·
2026-08-28·@RhoRider·Quantifies how the yen drop erased $57.5B of Japan's prior $95B intervention.·
2026-08-28·@RhoRider·Reports the yen breaking through 160 and anticipates another intervention.·
2026-08-28·@RhoRider·Reports prediction-market probabilities for a September rate hike rising sharply.·
2026-08-28·@RhoRider·Reports short yields at one-month highs while long yields fall as rate-hike bets increase.·
2026-08-27STRC@RhoRider-0.80Sarcastically attacks MSTR dilution and BTC sales used to support STRC.-0.7%
2026-08-27MSTR@RhoRider-0.70Sarcastically attacks MSTR dilution and BTC sales used to support STRC.-7.3%
2026-08-27BTC@RhoRider-0.45Sarcastically attacks MSTR dilution and BTC sales used to support STRC.·
2026-08-27·@RhoRider·Argues 24/7 trading could improve access and risk management despite downsides.·
2026-08-27·@RhoRider·Frames cooling inflation as requiring weaker output, tighter credit or fiscal restraint.·
2026-08-27MSTR@RhoRider-0.60Criticizes repurchases being financed through MSTR dilution.-7.3%
2026-08-27·@RhoRider·Says WTI broke $84 and will likely rebound toward $86 or higher.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.