@RichardWedekin1 RichardWedekin1
Transparent AI value-chain hunter mapping bottleneck suppliers from megacaps to obscure small caps
Original bottom-up analyst and long-only trader who builds t
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, -0.33% mean alpha, trader score -0.53. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.9% since posting (mean over 77 mentions with price data).
The author is most clearly long a high-growth AI infrastructure basket including ASML, CRDO, SIVE, AAOI and NBIS, while making an active add in ALKAL funded by exiting PYPL at a loss. Their distinctive read is valuation discipline around speculative space names, especially SPCX, where they argue downside is large despite hype. Late-window activity shows a concrete capital rotation into ALKAL and continued public disclosure of concentrated long targets.
Conviction is concentrated in disclosed AI infrastructure longs and the ALKAL add, while the author is sharply bearish on speculative space exposure, especially SPCX. The clearest capital action is a PYPL exit at a loss to double ALKAL, alongside repeated negative SPCX valuation and downside framing. Pump-risk is highest in SPCX commentary and ALKAL accumulation because those tickers dominate their respective themes.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | SIVE | @RichardWedekin1 | +0.80 | Long SIVE. — Explicit long disclosure/call on SIVE. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | SIVE | @RichardWedekin1 | +0.25 | SIVE chart analysis cites EMA100 and 38.2 Fib support but warns lower high. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SNPS | @RichardWedekin1 | +0.35 | States SNPS price target of $850. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ORCL | @RichardWedekin1 | +0.25 | Brief bullish EPS mention with rocket emoji. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AXTI | @RichardWedekin1 | -0.45 | Says AXTI gives back 60%, calling it brutal. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ORCL | @RichardWedekin1 | +0.35 | Notes last fall below weekly SMA200 preceded near double from 135 to 250. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CEG | @RichardWedekin1 | +0.45 | First savings-plan tranche invested in CEG for long term. — Author says first CEG savings-plan buy executed and energy utilities look attractive long term. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AEHR | @RichardWedekin1 | -0.15 | Questions whether CPO is not a bottleneck for named stocks. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SIVE | @RichardWedekin1 | -0.15 | Questions whether CPO is not a bottleneck for named stocks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AAOI | @RichardWedekin1 | -0.15 | Questions whether CPO is not a bottleneck for named stocks. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CRWV | @RichardWedekin1 | -0.25 | Says capital is taking profits in neoclouds around META business unit news. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IREN | @RichardWedekin1 | -0.25 | Says capital is taking profits in neoclouds around META business unit news. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @RichardWedekin1 | +0.10 | Says capital is taking profits in neoclouds around META business unit news. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NBIS | @RichardWedekin1 | -0.25 | Says capital is taking profits in neoclouds around META business unit news. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SIVE | @RichardWedekin1 | +0.15 | Mentions Trade Republic new in-house trading feature tied to SIVE. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.