Author
@Ross__Hendricks Ross__Hendricks
grade Ax.com/Ross__Hendricks ↗
Contrarian value trader betting against the AI capex bubble
Posts an original fundamental/macro framework: short/skeptic
trader score
+2.12
hit rate
75%
mean α
+0.82%
signals 14d
74
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 75% hit rate, +0.82% mean alpha, trader score +2.12. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.8% since posting (mean over 24 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Sarcastically defends unnamed companies using strong margins, retention and revenue growth. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @Ross__Hendricks | -0.25 | Treats celebrity promotion of Nvidia as a possible sign of late-stage enthusiasm. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @Ross__Hendricks | -0.20 | Claims neocloud economics depend unsustainably on Nvidia support despite Nvidia's guidance. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | CRWV | @Ross__Hendricks | -0.80 | Claims neocloud economics depend unsustainably on Nvidia support despite Nvidia's guidance. | -3.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Warns that unusually elevated corporate earnings themselves may constitute a bubble. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Cites a $300B demand backstop as evidence of an extreme market mania. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Rejects the prior inverse relationship between software and semiconductors as a temporary trade artifact. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | FIG | @Ross__Hendricks | +0.50 | Discloses ownership of several referenced holdings, including a sizable FIG position. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Looks back approvingly on buying software at prior generational lows. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Sarcastically criticizes the scale of continued capital spending. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Sarcastically questions broad AI usefulness if frontier companies cannot find effective applications. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Criticizes an unnamed business for relying on extensive off-balance-sheet vendor financing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NVDA | @Ross__Hendricks | -0.65 | Flags NVDA receivables of $63.1B and DSO rising to 60 from 45 days as evidence of customer-payment risk. | +3.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Questions whether AI investment has produced broad productivity or profit gains beyond hyperscalers and hardware vendors. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NKE | @Ross__Hendricks | -0.80 | Calls Nike's latest product output poor amid what the author describes as an existential business struggle. | +2.6% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.