Author
@Ross__Hendricks Ross__Hendricks
grade Ax.com/Ross__Hendricks ↗
Contrarian value trader betting against the AI capex bubble
Posts an original fundamental/macro framework: short/skeptic
trader score
-0.23
hit rate
35%
mean α
-0.12%
signals 14d
105
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -0.12% mean alpha, trader score -0.23. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +3.5% since posting (mean over 42 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Mocks fragile bull theses premised on a company merely surviving. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | States bond yields fell with stocks during the week and were unchanged intraday. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Mocks repeated dip-buying after investors already committed capital on the prior decline. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @Ross__Hendricks | -0.85 | Calls Tesla's flying-car reveal a pump-and-dump rug pull. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @Ross__Hendricks | -0.75 | Mocks the weakening price impact of Tesla promotional events. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Expects REITs and tobacco to perform well as bond yields fall. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Argues demand is supported by debt-financed, cash-burning companies near failure. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Sarcastically rejects the claim that current market conditions are different this time. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Claims the market already experienced a blow-off top in June. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Warns that the current damage is minor compared with a much larger decline ahead. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @Ross__Hendricks | · | Bear thesis says rising compute inputs and collapsing token prices will break the capex cycle. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | MU | @Ross__Hendricks | -0.55 | Compares AI's debt-fueled circular financing to dot-com dynamics and forecasts supply-chain damage. | -5.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | CAT | @Ross__Hendricks | -0.55 | Compares AI's debt-fueled circular financing to dot-com dynamics and forecasts supply-chain damage. | -6.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | CSCO | @Ross__Hendricks | -0.20 | Compares AI's debt-fueled circular financing to dot-com dynamics and forecasts supply-chain damage. | -3.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | NVDA | @Ross__Hendricks | -0.85 | Compares AI's debt-fueled circular financing to dot-com dynamics and forecasts supply-chain damage. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.