@SamanthaLaDuc SamanthaLaDuc
Flows-and-geopolitics macro trader mapping the AI rotation to specific tickers and levels
Runs a paid trading room/newsletter; calls intraday-to-secul
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.22% mean alpha, trader score -0.48. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.3% since posting (mean over 65 mentions with price data).
SamanthaLaDuc is focused on a macro regime shift: AI capex, hyperscaler debt, IPO froth, and credit-funded market gains look vulnerable while gold, silver, miners, commodities, and cash are favored. Her distinctive read is that Fed regime risk, dollar and yen stress, and AI financing strain can coexist with tactical risk-asset squeezes. The strongest ticker concentration is bearish SPCX, while the clearest long-side expression is the metals rebound via GLD, GDX, SIL, and SLV.
Conviction is consistently bearish on AI financing, IPO supply, and credit-funded market gains, with SPCX the most concentrated single-name expression. Bullish exposure sits mainly in metals and commodities, where GLD, GDX, SIL, and SLV are framed as bouncing on cue after a correction. No CALL_DIRECTIONAL or POSITION_DISCLOSURE signals were provided, so adds, trims, and exits are not evidenced in the input.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | · | @SamanthaLaDuc | · | Quoted view that US closed-source AI and captive ally strategy is failing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SOXX | @SamanthaLaDuc | -0.45 | JPMorgan says AI chip rally may be hard to sustain and chips may underperform hyperscalers. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @SamanthaLaDuc | -0.35 | Skeptical AI round-tripping narrative across Nvidia, OpenAI, Meta and Palantir comments. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | PLTR | @SamanthaLaDuc | -0.25 | Skeptical AI round-tripping narrative across Nvidia, OpenAI, Meta and Palantir comments. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | USDJPY | @SamanthaLaDuc | -0.35 | Framework for energy deflation-driven dollar decline and capital rotation over 2-5 years. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | DXY | @SamanthaLaDuc | -0.45 | Framework for energy deflation-driven dollar decline and capital rotation over 2-5 years. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @SamanthaLaDuc | · | Cites view that AI lacks ROI and tech lacks hypergrowth ideas. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SOXX | @SamanthaLaDuc | -0.65 | Warns parabolic SOXX/QQQ gains mean distribution and sideways-to-lower next two months. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | QQQ | @SamanthaLaDuc | -0.45 | Warns parabolic SOXX/QQQ gains mean distribution and sideways-to-lower next two months. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NVDA | @SamanthaLaDuc | -0.65 | Questions Nvidia AI Compute Partnership as round-tripping and lack of demand. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @SamanthaLaDuc | · | Frames NFP/bonds/AI as growth scare where good news is bad news. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @SamanthaLaDuc | · | Discusses yen, oil, Fed expectations, and carry-trade risk with chart cited. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | USDJPY | @SamanthaLaDuc | -0.35 | Says falling energy prices and pushed-out Fed hike are good for yen, bearish USDJPY. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | META | @SamanthaLaDuc | +0.30 | Says hyperscaler rotation setup for clients from June 25 worked. | -4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | IGV | @SamanthaLaDuc | +0.25 | Says hyperscaler rotation setup for clients from June 25 worked. | +0.2% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.