Author · brief 2026-06-22

@SayNoToTrading SayNoToTrading

Transparent long-only quality investor who relentlessly warns against chasing hype

Posts real-time, fully-disclosed long-only portfolio moves (

trader score
+1.70
hit rate
60%
mean α
+1.75%
signals 14d
87

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +1.75% mean alpha, trader score +1.70. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +1.2% since posting (mean over 63 mentions with price data).

Quality compounders, space optionality, and gold royalty adds

SayNoToTrading is mostly leaning long quality software, AMZN over META, gold royalty names, selected exchanges, and a basket of space optionality. The distinctive read is opportunistic accumulation and basis management rather than clean single-name catalyst trading, with trims in FIX and POOL while still holding core residual exposure. Late-window tone turns more cautious on KO tax liability, while space and exchange-market-structure themes remain constructive but diffuse.

Themes6analyst read · 2026-06-22
Quality software and mega-cap compounders
bullfading11 signals
Precious metals and hard-asset accumulation
bullintensifying10 signals
PHYSGLDORFNVWPMRGLDTPL
Space-stock speculation and engineered demand
bullfading31 signals
Financial infrastructure and exchange defensiveness
bullintensifying12 signals
Portfolio trims and residual free-carry positions
mixedintensifying16 signals
Consumer and media deal-risk skepticism
mixedNEW8 signals
Direction this week

The week is net constructive, with the clearest disclosed adds in TPL, AMZN, software on sale, royalty metals, and an undisclosed space-stock basket. Conviction looks broad rather than concentrated, but the author is actively harvesting gains in FIX and POOL while keeping residual exposure. The late-window notable shift is a new bearish focus on KO’s tax liability, not a broad risk-off pivot.

Position disclosures5skin in the game
AMZN New AMZN shares disclosed, with AMZN strongly favored over META on risk-adjusted basis. added
HOOD Recent HOOD shares from the 70s are being held because the product value is compelling. held
FIX Some FIX shares from a 276.76 lot were sold after strong relative performance. trimmed
POOL Highest-cost POOL shares were sold while roughly 200 lower-basis shares remain. trimmed
NDAQ Author has owned NDAQ for years and finds it interesting after a 7% drop. held
Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
FedEx Freight separation can unlock cost savings, buyback capacity, and a cleaner valuation framework for the remaining
bullMEDIUM2 co-supporters
ABBV is being framed as a quality dividend healthcare holding, helped by analyst upgrades, yield appeal, and disclosed l
bullHIGH10 co-supporters
Q1 results validate the bull case because MPC beat EPS, revenue or EBITDA estimates and paired the beat with a $5B buyba
bullMEDIUM4 co-supporters
Launch scarcity, Blue Origin setbacks and Neutron progress make RKLB a more valuable medium-lift alternative.
bullHIGH4 co-supporters
Berkshire fully exiting AON is a negative positioning signal from a high-profile institutional holder.
bearMEDIUM2 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02MRVL@SayNoToTrading+0.20Would consider adding 200 MRVL shares around 160-190. — Conditional future add level and share count, while avoiding current exposure.
2026-07-02CRWD@SayNoToTrading+0.55Increased CRWD share count from 200 to 800 today. — Author discloses increasing CRWD position size today.
2026-07-02RGLD@SayNoToTrading+0.45Has done adds on RGLD to top off gold exposure. — Author says not worst time to top off gold exposure and has added RGLD.·
2026-07-02AEHR@SayNoToTrading-0.25Notes chip selloff and says VECO is being acquired by ACLS in all-stock deal.
2026-07-02ACLS@SayNoToTrading-0.10Notes chip selloff and says VECO is being acquired by ACLS in all-stock deal.
2026-07-02AMAT@SayNoToTrading-0.15Notes chip selloff and says VECO is being acquired by ACLS in all-stock deal.
2026-07-02AAOI@SayNoToTrading-0.25Notes chip selloff and says VECO is being acquired by ACLS in all-stock deal.
2026-07-02VECO@SayNoToTrading+0.50Notes chip selloff and says VECO is being acquired by ACLS in all-stock deal.
2026-07-02KLAC@SayNoToTrading-0.15Notes chip selloff and says VECO is being acquired by ACLS in all-stock deal.
2026-07-01MSTR@SayNoToTrading-0.80Mocks bearishness on crypto-linked names and calls MSTR a Ponzi going to zero.+7.9%
2026-07-01COIN@SayNoToTrading-0.20Mocks bearishness on crypto-linked names and calls MSTR a Ponzi going to zero.+3.9%
2026-07-01HOOD@SayNoToTrading-0.25Skeptical reaction to HOOD offering, says they do not want it.+3.8%
2026-07-01ASML@SayNoToTrading+0.25Owns chip names, likes reset, and expresses extreme upside wish for MU.-4.0%
2026-07-01MU@SayNoToTrading+0.50Owns chip names, likes reset, and expresses extreme upside wish for MU.-5.5%
2026-07-01LRCX@SayNoToTrading+0.25Owns chip names, likes reset, and expresses extreme upside wish for MU.-10.2%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.