@ScroogeCap ScroogeCap
Anon AI-compute specialist trading the datacenter value chain long and short
Synthesizes sell-side notes, alt-data, and his own framework
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 65% hit rate, +1.90% mean alpha, trader score +1.61. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.8% since posting (mean over 24 mentions with price data).
ScroogeCap’s window is dominated by semiconductor and cloud checks: bullish analog bottlenecks around TXN and ADI, constructive AVGO XPU assumptions, and AWS growth above buyside expectations. The clearest trade call is a swing long in NEOV, while the most negative read is IT services weakness through ACN and IBM. Late-week emphasis shifted toward analog supply bottlenecks after earlier AI accelerator and services checks.
Conviction is concentrated in semis and cloud checks, with bullish reads on analog bottlenecks, AVGO XPU assumptions, and AWS growth, offset by bearish AMD share-loss and IT services concerns. The only explicit directional trade is a NEOV swing long on June 17. The window adds a new analog bottleneck theme late in the week, while ACN/IBM remain the primary bearish services expression.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | AAPL | @ScroogeCap | -0.35 | Edgewater says AAPL China shipments down YoY for 8 straight weeks, growth slowed versus Q1. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | HOOD | @ScroogeCap | +0.00 | Mentions Mizuho note on HOOD with no details or clear stance. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INFQ | @ScroogeCap | +0.35 | Canaccord initiation on INFQ; Wedbush prior initiation also noted with 10% move. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | AAPL | @ScroogeCap | -0.45 | Claims Apple is cutting iPhone 17 production. | +4.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | META | @ScroogeCap | -0.45 | Author questions META rally and says selling excess cloud capacity is not a great outcome. | -4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | AMZN | @ScroogeCap | +0.05 | Author questions META rally and says selling excess cloud capacity is not a great outcome. | +0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | MSFT | @ScroogeCap | +0.05 | Author questions META rally and says selling excess cloud capacity is not a great outcome. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | GOOGL | @ScroogeCap | +0.05 | Author questions META rally and says selling excess cloud capacity is not a great outcome. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | META | @ScroogeCap | -0.20 | Skeptical of META being up on month-old information. | -4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | META | @ScroogeCap | +0.00 | Says Meta finally announced something a month later, but details require context. | -4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | FL | @ScroogeCap | +0.15 | Argues NKE downside is capped, margins are inflecting, and shorts risk violent covering. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | NKE | @ScroogeCap | +0.65 | Argues NKE downside is capped, margins are inflecting, and shorts risk violent covering. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | DKS | @ScroogeCap | +0.15 | Argues NKE downside is capped, margins are inflecting, and shorts risk violent covering. | +2.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | NKE | @ScroogeCap | +0.70 | Says NKE bottom is here and management reset creates turnaround story. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | MSTR | @ScroogeCap | -0.65 | Calls MSTR's actions essentially unwinding the ponzi. | +8.7% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.