Author

@semodough semodough

Bull-leaning biotech catalyst aggregator who synthesizes sell-side notes into read-throughs

Posts a high-volume stream of clinical-stage biotech/pharma

trader score
-0.75
hit rate
45%
mean α
-1.22%
signals 14d
183

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -1.22% mean alpha, trader score -0.75. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +6.1% since posting (mean over 109 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-03AZN@semodough+0.25Frames Entresto's $7.8B peak sales as a proxy for Baxfendy.
2026-07-03MLYS@semodough+0.25Frames Entresto's $7.8B peak sales as a proxy for Baxfendy.
2026-07-03AZN@semodough+0.35BofA commentary on Baxdrostat access, pricing, adoption, and Entresto as launch proxy.
2026-07-03MLYS@semodough+0.20BofA commentary on Baxdrostat access, pricing, adoption, and Entresto as launch proxy.
2026-07-02·@semodough·Speculates management dropped a bigger nugget than a JNJ takeover but no target ticker is explicit.·
2026-07-02ABVX@semodough+0.35Mentions ABVX peak revenue take better than analysts' $8-10B.
2026-07-02TARS@semodough+0.60Mizuho model supports larger TARS/Xdemvy opportunity than Culper short report suggests.·
2026-07-02EYPT@semodough+0.35Cites Chardan arguing DURAVYU sham masking is not disqualifying for FDA efficacy control.·
2026-07-02TARS@semodough+0.40Reports TARS $9 rebound after short report and nurse comments.·
2026-07-02BBIO@semodough+0.40Speculates on BBIO and praises management and pipeline quality.
2026-07-02ABVX@semodough+0.25Reports LR modeling ABVX revenue of $1.5B in 2030.
2026-07-02BBIO@semodough+0.60Says BBIO has superior drug to PFE and increasing doctor tailwinds.
2026-07-02PFE@semodough-0.25Says BBIO has superior drug to PFE and increasing doctor tailwinds.
2026-07-02TARS@semodough+0.45Mizuho has PT $100 and stays Outperform after short report attack.·
2026-07-02ABVX@semodough+0.45Cites Truist seeing business development and potential takeout as upside to valuation.

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.