Author

@sikeda23 sikeda23

Japanese-market analyst mapping Asia AI-infra and semis supply chain to catalysts

Posts daily morning/weekly market memos, macro-print recaps,

trader score
-0.03
hit rate
56%
mean α
-0.02%
signals 14d
25

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 18 scored bets: 56% hit rate, -0.02% mean alpha, trader score -0.03. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -4.7% since posting (mean over 9 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-15TSM@sikeda23+0.25News roundup contrasts TSMC earnings with record CoreWeave CDS and high default risk.-0.9%
2026-10-15CRWV@sikeda23-0.60News roundup contrasts TSMC earnings with record CoreWeave CDS and high default risk.-22.2%
2026-10-15·@sikeda23·The author comments on an Advantest price divergence visible only in the chart.·
2026-10-14·@sikeda23·U.S. headline and core CPI both print above year-over-year forecasts, with core monthly also above consensus.·
2026-10-13ASML@sikeda23+0.25Highlights that ASML demand commentary now extends as far as 2030.-8.5%
2026-10-13ASML@sikeda23-0.30Reports Japanese semiconductor-equipment stocks initially moved lower after ASML earnings.-8.5%
2026-10-13·@sikeda23·Author expects no consecutive rate hike while noting that a December hike remains possible.·
2026-10-11ASML@sikeda23+0.00Previews the week's CPI and upcoming semiconductor earnings from ASML and TSMC.-11.7%
2026-10-11TSM@sikeda23+0.00Previews the week's CPI and upcoming semiconductor earnings from ASML and TSMC.-7.7%
2026-10-11·@sikeda23·Says tech stocks are entering an important stage that will determine another leg higher.·
2026-10-09·@sikeda23·Notes a surprisingly severe Hermès decline while disclosing it remains a holding.·
2026-10-07186A.T@sikeda23+0.25Reports the first regular TOPIX reconstitution, including four named additions effective October 30.·
2026-10-072702.T@sikeda23+0.25Reports the first regular TOPIX reconstitution, including four named additions effective October 30.·
2026-10-07215A.T@sikeda23+0.25Reports the first regular TOPIX reconstitution, including four named additions effective October 30.·
2026-10-077564.T@sikeda23+0.25Reports the first regular TOPIX reconstitution, including four named additions effective October 30.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.