@sspencer_smb sspencer_smb
Disciplined Musk-complex trader fusing deep AI-infra valuation work with intraday level trading
Trades and analyzes megacap/AI-infrastructure equities with
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -2.15% mean alpha, trader score -1.96. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.1% since posting (mean over 28 mentions with price data).
This author is mostly trading SPCX and QQQ tactically while repeatedly engaging the Tesla autonomy narrative. Their distinctive read is microstructure-driven on SPCX, with supply/demand and deal-design upside offset by bull-trap, financing, and support-level caveats. Late in the window they disclosed a QQQ long after previously disclosing short Friday calls, while Tesla commentary stayed mixed between FSD defense and valuation/service skepticism.
Conviction is concentrated in SPCX microstructure and TSLA autonomy debate, with QQQ used as a tactical trading vehicle. SPCX commentary is explicitly two-sided: supply-demand and deal design are constructive, but bull-trap, financing, and support-level risk are repeatedly flagged. QQQ shows a discrete shift from disclosed short Friday 695s on June 15 to a long entry at 724.54 on June 17.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | TSLA | @sspencer_smb | +0.25 | Brief exclamation on TSLA with positive surprise but no detail. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | TSLA | @sspencer_smb | -0.20 | Mentions Tesla estimated delivery slipped from Summer 2026 to April 2027. | -7.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | PLTR | @sspencer_smb | +0.25 | Describes PLTR CEO pitch to help businesses build frontier models without OpenAI/Anthropic exposure. | +2.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | BE | @sspencer_smb | +0.60 | Discloses long BE from the 286s. | -6.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SPCX | @sspencer_smb | -0.30 | Suggests SPCX green-to-red move related to META cloud business news. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | META | @sspencer_smb | +0.30 | Suggests SPCX green-to-red move related to META cloud business news. | -4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | QQQ | @sspencer_smb | +0.45 | long QQQ a bit — Explicitly says QQQ down 11 and long a bit. | -1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | TSLA | @sspencer_smb | +0.20 | Reports TSLA is up 15% from Friday's low with no forward call. | -6.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @sspencer_smb | · | Says frontier labs will keep reducing inference costs, with broad AI compute implication but no ticker. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SPCX | @sspencer_smb | +0.55 | SPCX probably safe to buy near 170 — Author says SPCX coming into 170 is probably safe to buy now. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | QQQ | @sspencer_smb | +0.10 | QQQ is near filling last Monday's gap, a technical level observation. | -3.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | QQQ | @sspencer_smb | +0.20 | QQQ is up 3.5% from yesterday's low. | -3.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | TSLA | @sspencer_smb | +0.35 | Notes TSLA is up 42 points from Friday's low. | -4.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | QQQ | @sspencer_smb | +0.15 | Notes QQQ 15 off the low into 720. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | QQQ | @sspencer_smb | +0.25 | QQQ has bounced at least 1.5% off 705 four days in a row. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.