Author · brief 2026-06-22

@stockgutter stockgutter

Transparent two-sided micro-cap fundamentalist who exposes hype and trades the structure

Posts ticker-specific fundamental takes, starter/add positio

trader score
+0.77
hit rate
50%
mean α
+0.75%
signals 14d
43

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, +0.75% mean alpha, trader score +0.77. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +2.0% since posting (mean over 14 mentions with price data).

Small-cap earnings longs offset by SPCX short-call fade

stockgutter is mainly trading small-cap post-earnings longs while fading SPCX through short calls after initially noting bullish options interest. The distinctive read is opportunistic and event-driven: JRSH and WDH are buyable on earnings/momentum, while SPCX is overextended with float-expansion risk. Late-window activity clearly shifted toward a more developed bearish SPCX options thesis.

Themes3analyst read · 2026-06-22
Post-earnings small-cap longs
bullNEW6 signals
JRSHWDHLZBHUMAIOT
SPCX options and SpaceX exposure
mixedintensifying5 signals
⚠ 100% of theme signals are SPCX — flag pump risk
Market-data quality and IPO skepticism
bearconsistent3 signals
Direction this week

The author’s clearest concentration is event-driven: long or constructive on JRSH, WDH, LZB, HUM, and AIOT after earnings or price momentum. SPCX is the meaningful late-week shift, moving from noting bullish options-interest potential on June 15 to selling and defending short calls on June 16-17. Pump-risk is highest in the SPCX theme because all theme signals center on one vehicle and the author is using options to express the view.

Position disclosures1skin in the game
Owns some via a buy-write, but ticker is only available from thread context. held
Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
QNT’s weak aftermarket action undermines confidence in IPOs and quantum-hype trades more broadly.
bearHIGH5 co-supporters
AEHR’s valuation has outrun fundamentals because revenues lag, margins are negative, and volume orders remain unproven.
bearHIGH2 co-supporters
AZ’s earnings quality deteriorated because revenue growth came with widening losses and negative gross profit.
bearMEDIUM2 co-supporters
FINV’s $150M repurchase authorization is large enough relative to market value to support material per-share upside.
bullMEDIUM2 co-supporters
The post-crackdown selloff is overdone because fines and customer losses appear manageable relative to the stock collaps
bullHIGH3 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02·@stockgutter·OpenUSD described as important for payments and crypto, without tickers.·
2026-07-02·@stockgutter·Framework that markets adapt to AI bottlenecks and energy constraints.·
2026-07-02PBI@stockgutter+0.55Positive take on PBI share-count reduction.·
2026-07-02MNTS@stockgutter+0.45Discloses taking a small flyer and calls MNTS a nice chart setup.
2026-07-02RH@stockgutter+0.15Brief positive curiosity toward RH, stance unclear.
2026-07-02ACHR@stockgutter-0.45Questions value classification given no profit and under $2M sales.
2026-07-01SB@stockgutter+0.25Mentions sugar looking better with chart context for SB.·
2026-07-01MNTN@stockgutter+0.25Author discloses long MNTN and notes it is up over 25% in five sessions.·
2026-07-01CCXI@stockgutter-0.15Questions whether Agility disclosed actual revenues versus illustrative scenarios.·
2026-07-01AGLT@stockgutter-0.20Questions whether Agility disclosed actual revenues versus illustrative scenarios.·
2026-06-29OZK@stockgutter+0.35OZK announced a new $200M buyback.·
2026-06-29LFST@stockgutter-0.25Director Robert Bessler has nearly sold out of his once-large LFST holding.·
2026-06-29SKLZ@stockgutter+0.00FIRY is breaking out of two months of consolidation ahead of key court rulings.·
2026-06-29FIRY@stockgutter+0.40FIRY is breaking out of two months of consolidation ahead of key court rulings.·
2026-06-28MSTR@stockgutter+0.00Asks whether chart shows BTC purchases by MSTR; stance is unclear.+22.4%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.