Author
@StockMarketNerd StockMarketNerd
grade Ax.com/StockMarketNerd ↗
Named software-focused fundamental analyst, contrarian into fear, transparent on wins and losses
Writes original bottom-up fundamental analysis and earnings
trader score
+0.08
hit rate
65%
mean α
+0.07%
signals 14d
76
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 65% hit rate, +0.07% mean alpha, trader score +0.08. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -5.1% since posting (mean over 47 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Sarcastically notes that high-beta stocks rallied despite a hot PPI print. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AAPL | @StockMarketNerd | +0.10 | Author sees Apple and Meta as plausible acquirers, but the target is absent from context. | +1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | META | @StockMarketNerd | +0.10 | Author sees Apple and Meta as plausible acquirers, but the target is absent from context. | -12.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Endorses being greedy during fearful markets, signaling a contrarian bullish stance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Advocates viewing market stress opportunistically. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Frames repeated 20% holding drawdowns as a normal part of long-term investing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | RKLB | @StockMarketNerd | +0.45 | Acknowledges poor timing and delays but remains constructive on Rocket Lab's founder and execution. | -11.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | NBIS | @StockMarketNerd | -0.20 | Mockingly characterizes some NBIS bulls as colorful, signaling mild skepticism. | -14.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Warns that investors accustomed only to rising stocks may underestimate downside-cycle risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Says elevated rates remain a headwind and short sellers will likely remain right while it persists. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Suggests focusing risk analysis on companies with stretched balance sheets and large funding needs. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | META | @StockMarketNerd | +0.15 | Suggests Zuckerberg may offer an acquisition price worth considering, but the target is unspecified. | -12.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Says the referenced development could accelerate infrastructure buildout and improve model and agent scaling. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Argues compute remains valuable before and after the cycle peak, while mega-caps can support leveraged owners. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Views a possible $15B compute backstop and public-cloud entry as strategically sensible. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.