Author
@StockMarketNerd StockMarketNerd
grade Ax.com/StockMarketNerd ↗
Named software-focused fundamental analyst, contrarian into fear, transparent on wins and losses
Writes original bottom-up fundamental analysis and earnings
trader score
+1.53
hit rate
70%
mean α
+1.37%
signals 14d
58
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 70% hit rate, +1.37% mean alpha, trader score +1.53. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +2.1% since posting (mean over 43 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Questions the fundamental resilience of three unspecified SaaS companies. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | ZS | @StockMarketNerd | +0.25 | Says recent results were good while questioning whether ZS and peers can sustain momentum. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Reports an unnamed company rising over 6,600% since going public. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Reports an unnamed company's net new subscription ARR growing 35% year over year. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Explains an unnamed ARR subsection and cites a normalization chart. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | RBRK | @StockMarketNerd | +0.60 | Calls RBRK's reported quarter excellent. | -13.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | CRM | @StockMarketNerd | +0.70 | Wants CRM weakness to enable aggressive buybacks and a 15% share-count reduction. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Argues company opinions track share prices even when fundamentals and expectations are stable. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @StockMarketNerd | +0.00 | Announces position changes and updated holdings as part of risk management. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | CRWD | @StockMarketNerd | +0.00 | Announces position changes and updated holdings as part of risk management. | -4.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Characterizes market cycles as extremely short and attention-driven. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | States the author is not especially bullish on unnamed securities from the thread. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Contrasts April software pessimism with current AI-driven optimism and says sentiment follows price. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Discloses heavy prior buying of high-quality durable software businesses. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @StockMarketNerd | · | Calls an unnamed security very expensive at 145 times forward earnings. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.