Author
@SurmountInvest SurmountInvest
grade Bx.com/SurmountInvest ↗
AI-infrastructure thematic synthesizer mapping the compute-to-memory-to-supply-chain value stack
Posts reasoned macro and thematic frameworks plus curated ne
trader score
+0.43
hit rate
45%
mean α
+0.28%
signals 14d
14
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, +0.28% mean alpha, trader score +0.43. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.8% since posting (mean over 8 mentions with price data).
Recent signals14receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | NVDA | @SurmountInvest | -0.35 | Long framework arguing AI capex is hurting Mag 7 while market rotation favors other sectors. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @SurmountInvest | -0.35 | Long framework arguing AI capex is hurting Mag 7 while market rotation favors other sectors. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AMZN | @SurmountInvest | -0.35 | Long framework arguing AI capex is hurting Mag 7 while market rotation favors other sectors. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MSFT | @SurmountInvest | -0.45 | Long framework arguing AI capex is hurting Mag 7 while market rotation favors other sectors. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SFTBY | @SurmountInvest | -0.70 | Long framework on SoftBank's concentrated OpenAI risk after IPO delay report and selloff. | -2.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-27 | · | @SurmountInvest | · | Long-form bearish framework on crypto leverage, liquidations, and exchange incentives. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @SurmountInvest | · | Reports KOSPI crash, circuit breaker, institutional selling, and record retail buying. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-23 | ORCL | @SurmountInvest | -0.25 | Argues AI trade is rotating away from incumbents after capex, FCF, and talent-loss pressure. | -15.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-23 | META | @SurmountInvest | -0.30 | Argues AI trade is rotating away from incumbents after capex, FCF, and talent-loss pressure. | +3.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-23 | AMZN | @SurmountInvest | -0.30 | Argues AI trade is rotating away from incumbents after capex, FCF, and talent-loss pressure. | +3.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-23 | PLTR | @SurmountInvest | -0.25 | Argues AI trade is rotating away from incumbents after capex, FCF, and talent-loss pressure. | +10.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-23 | GOOGL | @SurmountInvest | -0.55 | Argues AI trade is rotating away from incumbents after capex, FCF, and talent-loss pressure. | +4.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-20 | META | @SurmountInvest | +0.05 | Long framework on potential US equity stakes in major AI companies and state-capital shift. | +1.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-20 | INTC | @SurmountInvest | +0.20 | Long framework on potential US equity stakes in major AI companies and state-capital shift. | -10.2% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.