Author
@SurmountInvest SurmountInvest
grade Bx.com/SurmountInvest ↗
AI-infrastructure thematic synthesizer mapping the compute-to-memory-to-supply-chain value stack
Posts reasoned macro and thematic frameworks plus curated ne
trader score
+0.24
hit rate
56%
mean α
+0.37%
signals 14d
8
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 9 scored bets: 56% hit rate, +0.37% mean alpha, trader score +0.24. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.8% since posting (mean over 5 mentions with price data).
Recent signals8receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | DKS | @SurmountInvest | -0.50 | Explains DKS's 31% crash after margin deterioration and a large full-year EPS guidance cut. | +2.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | NVDA | @SurmountInvest | -0.65 | Bearish AI-boom framework citing circular financing, hidden obligations and aggressive chip-cost accounting. | +2.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | ORCL | @SurmountInvest | -0.50 | Bearish AI-boom framework citing circular financing, hidden obligations and aggressive chip-cost accounting. | +4.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-22 | NVDA | @SurmountInvest | -0.30 | Warns Nvidia's valuation and index weight create major earnings-event concentration risk. | +1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-22 | SPX | @SurmountInvest | -0.20 | Warns Nvidia's valuation and index weight create major earnings-event concentration risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | · | @SurmountInvest | · | Builds a bearish macro framework around 20-year-high long yields, debt supply and intervention. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | NKE | @SurmountInvest | -0.85 | Uses Nike's multiyear collapse to argue trend systems should override brand loyalty and analyst optimism. | -1.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-15 | · | @SurmountInvest | · | Argues crowded AI-chip trades lagged coffee and advocates diversified, rules-based allocation over hype chasing. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.