Author

@SwingTraderQ SwingTraderQ

Anon macro swing trader timing index turns via intermarket and vol structure

Top-down macro/technical swing and position trading of indic

trader score
+1.26
hit rate
35%
mean α
+0.47%
signals 14d
50

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, +0.47% mean alpha, trader score +1.26. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.8% since posting (mean over 40 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16CRWV@SwingTraderQ-0.75Compares CRWV to an overleveraged subprime-bubble character, implying severe balance-sheet risk.-11.7%
2026-10-16SPY@SwingTraderQ-0.65Suggests SPY is forming a familiar market-top pattern based on the attached chart.-0.4%
2026-10-16LULU@SwingTraderQ+0.10Says buying discretionary is premature until the AI trade suffers a LULU-like decline.+2.0%
2026-10-16SPY@SwingTraderQ-0.65Argues the AI bubble has not burst, rejects discretionary rotation and recommends cash as the largest position.-0.4%
2026-10-16VIX@SwingTraderQ+0.65Argues the AI bubble has not burst, rejects discretionary rotation and recommends cash as the largest position.·
2026-10-15SPY@SwingTraderQ-0.55Expects a VIX spike and discloses selling SPY calls, expressing a bearish equity-index stance.-1.5%
2026-10-15VIX@SwingTraderQ+0.65Expects a VIX spike and discloses selling SPY calls, expressing a bearish equity-index stance.·
2026-10-15QQQ@SwingTraderQ+0.65Recommends continuing to buy QQQ dips at the 100-day moving average. — Explicit forward buy instruction tied to repeated support at the 100-day average.-3.2%
2026-10-15TLT@SwingTraderQ+0.30Identifies SPY support at 766-768 and avoids shorting because multiple assets are oversold.+1.7%
2026-10-15RSP@SwingTraderQ+0.30Identifies SPY support at 766-768 and avoids shorting because multiple assets are oversold.+0.7%
2026-10-15IWM@SwingTraderQ+0.30Identifies SPY support at 766-768 and avoids shorting because multiple assets are oversold.+0.2%
2026-10-15SPY@SwingTraderQ+0.35Identifies SPY support at 766-768 and avoids shorting because multiple assets are oversold.-1.5%
2026-10-15XLF@SwingTraderQ+0.30Identifies SPY support at 766-768 and avoids shorting because multiple assets are oversold.+1.1%
2026-10-15DIA@SwingTraderQ+0.30Identifies SPY support at 766-768 and avoids shorting because multiple assets are oversold.+0.0%
2026-10-14SPY@SwingTraderQ+0.65Expects SPY to reach 785 unless VIX closes above 17-18 this week. — Provides an explicit upside SPY target and invalidation based on a weekly VIX close.-1.3%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.