Author
@The_Real_Fly The_Real_Fly
grade Cx.com/The_Real_Fly ↗
Fast anon market pundit relaying geopolitics, oil, and AI-infra newsflow
Curates and reacts to breaking macro/geopolitical and equity
trader score
+0.14
hit rate
53%
mean α
+0.12%
signals 14d
24
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 17 scored bets: 53% hit rate, +0.12% mean alpha, trader score +0.14. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.0% since posting (mean over 4 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Presents three-month market returns by industry, but the values require the linked chart. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | GOOGL | @The_Real_Fly | -0.40 | Reports an FTC probe of YouTube nearing a potential consumer-protection lawsuit. | +1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Reports a planned meeting with refiners to lower gasoline prices as WTI rises 2.7%. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Reports stalled Iran talks, continued U.S. pressure and a Strait of Hormuz condition. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Reports Nasdaq futures up 320 points. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Reports an agreed US-Iran ceasefire including free navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | QQQ | @The_Real_Fly | -0.20 | Reports QQQ was lower on 60.53% of trading days since July 1. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Endorses Druckenmiller's warning that yield suppression enables deficits and market-priced long yields should prevail. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Expects the Iran conflict to broaden into a damaging trade war with China. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Reports Bessent's statement that a major financial institution will be sanctioned over Iran this week. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Reports U.S. efforts to pressure world leaders to cut economic ties with Iran, with a mocking reaction. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Reports Netanyahu's claim that Iran attempted to assassinate an Israeli official. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-23 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Reports Pence calling US action against Iran inevitable, implying heightened geopolitical risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-23 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Claims US debt has returned to 1992 levels because of dollar debasement. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-23 | · | @The_Real_Fly | · | Reports the number of US military casualties in the Iran war rising to 774. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.