@thesetupfactory thesetupfactory
Momentum swing trader running a relative-strength theme-rotation leaderboard, mostly semis and AI.
Trades US momentum/growth leaders on swing-to-position horiz
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-07-03.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 85% hit rate, +3.68% mean alpha, trader score +3.19. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -7.1% since posting (mean over 98 mentions with price data).
The author is trading a relative-strength, trend-following book centered on semis, optical/connectivity, select software, space, and healthcare rotation. Their distinctive read is not broad AI enthusiasm but a tighter focus on leadership changes, volume dry-ups, EMA/VWAP behavior, and when to take partials into extended gaps. Late-week tone became more tactical around semis, with MU still held but SOXX/MU flagged for chop after retail bought the dump.
Conviction stayed concentrated in semis, memory, optical/connectivity, and relative-strength breakouts, with explicit long exposure disclosed in SIMO, MU, GLW, and a new DELL entry. Tone flipped tactically bearish on OKTA and became more cautious on semis late week as SOXX/MU were flagged for chop after retail bought the dump. The author's style is consistent trend-following with disciplined trims into gaps and ATR extension rather than blanket bullishness.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | SOXX | @thesetupfactory | -0.15 | Retail bought yesterday's dump; no capitulation may mean more chop for semis. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | MU | @thesetupfactory | -0.15 | Retail bought yesterday's dump; no capitulation may mean more chop for semis. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @thesetupfactory | · | Says author closed most of a position and left a tiny runner for weekly trading. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MXL | @thesetupfactory | -0.10 | References MXL making a max pain move. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SOXX | @thesetupfactory | +0.00 | Claims semis and bitcoin have developed an inverse correlation. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | BTC | @thesetupfactory | +0.00 | Claims semis and bitcoin have developed an inverse correlation. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SMH | @thesetupfactory | +0.00 | Claims semis and bitcoin have developed an inverse correlation. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | MAGS | @thesetupfactory | +0.10 | Briefly notes MAGS was noticed last week with no clear stance. | -1.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @thesetupfactory | · | Discusses adapting buying near moving averages during choppy markets. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | UCTT | @thesetupfactory | +0.35 | Notes nice follow-through in UCTT with chart attached. | -25.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | GLW | @thesetupfactory | +0.55 | Author says they bought GLW in an ascending base and held through chop until it geared up. | -23.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | PANW | @thesetupfactory | +0.00 | Ticker and chart only without standalone stance. | +2.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | BAND | @thesetupfactory | +0.35 | Notes a nice turn in BAND with chart attached. | -2.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | BB | @thesetupfactory | +0.15 | Mentions everyone talking about BB and points to chart context. | -9.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | MU | @thesetupfactory | +0.45 | Suggests others will chase MU, implying bullish momentum. | -15.5% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.