Author
@thesetupfactory thesetupfactory
grade Bx.com/thesetupfactory ↗
Momentum swing trader running a relative-strength theme-rotation leaderboard, mostly semis and AI.
Trades US momentum/growth leaders on swing-to-position horiz
trader score
-2.36
hit rate
25%
mean α
-2.28%
signals 14d
216
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 25% hit rate, -2.28% mean alpha, trader score -2.36. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -7.1% since posting (mean over 113 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | HPE | @thesetupfactory | -0.15 | Uses collapsing leadership across themes as confirmation of a broad risk-off equity regime. | +2.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @thesetupfactory | -0.70 | Expects a painful market decline with intermittent bounces and discloses being all cash. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @thesetupfactory | · | Expects further semiconductor weakness and potentially broader market losses. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @thesetupfactory | · | Discusses conditions needed for a sustainable tradable trend after market chop. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @thesetupfactory | · | Lists breadth, hedging, correlation, credit and setup conditions for a trustworthy market low. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @thesetupfactory | · | Discourages searching for bullish growth-stock setups in the current market. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @thesetupfactory | · | Says the weak bounce despite oversold conditions is a negative market sign. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @thesetupfactory | · | Highlights unusually forceful market rotation, with details contained in linked media. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @thesetupfactory | · | Says relative-strength acceleration identified emerging software, value and retail themes. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @thesetupfactory | · | Observes strong bids in defensive and retail stocks during a rotation. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @thesetupfactory | · | Describes rotation from growth and high beta into value, while questioning its durability. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CRCL | @thesetupfactory | +0.25 | Notes CRCL's exaggerated volatility while remaining interested in the stock. | +4.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | W | @thesetupfactory | +0.40 | Highlights a strong price move in W. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | FSLY | @thesetupfactory | +0.30 | Characterizes FSLY as difficult but exciting. | +8.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | FPS | @thesetupfactory | +0.30 | Reports a strong prior-day bounce that accelerated around midday. | -23.5% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.