Author

@thesetupfactory thesetupfactory

Momentum swing trader running a relative-strength theme-rotation leaderboard, mostly semis and AI.

Trades US momentum/growth leaders on swing-to-position horiz

trader score
-1.25
hit rate
30%
mean α
-0.99%
signals 14d
130

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 30% hit rate, -0.99% mean alpha, trader score -1.25. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -9.4% since posting (mean over 47 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@thesetupfactory·Says two unspecified stocks are below declining 50-day averages·
2026-08-28·@thesetupfactory·Leans toward a broader index trend change rather than a temporary blip·
2026-08-28·@thesetupfactory·Cites data suggesting buying at an AAII reading of 45 works three weeks out·
2026-08-28·@thesetupfactory·Cites data suggesting buying at an AAII reading of 45 works three weeks out·
2026-08-28·@thesetupfactory·Offers multiple speculative scenarios for an unspecified market group·
2026-08-28·@thesetupfactory·Says semiconductor stocks currently have almost no constructive setups·
2026-08-28SNDK@thesetupfactory+0.70Remains long MU and SNDK while expecting memory stocks to lead when semis recover
2026-08-28MU@thesetupfactory+0.70Remains long MU and SNDK while expecting memory stocks to lead when semis recover
2026-08-28SPX@thesetupfactory-0.65Expects short-term continuation lower in the S&P 500·
2026-08-28·@thesetupfactory·Anticipates increased market volatility·
2026-08-28NBIS@thesetupfactory-0.70Avoids neocloud stocks as higher long-duration yields pressure the group
2026-08-28·@thesetupfactory·Premarket note warns that complacency and the current setup make gains difficult.·
2026-08-28·@thesetupfactory·Argues broad risk-on remains absent, with value rotation and only isolated software and biotech strength.·
2026-08-28·@thesetupfactory·Connects tightening liquidity with expected weakness in biotech and crypto.·
2026-08-28VIX@thesetupfactory+0.15Observes low VVIX and expects it to rise before VIX shows meaningful activity.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.