Author

@TheWiseAdapter TheWiseAdapter

Disciplined, transparent AI-memory/infrastructure swing trader with falsifiable valuation skepticism

Trades the AI capex supercycle — real-time tickered buys, sc

trader score
+0.49
hit rate
55%
mean α
+0.29%
signals 14d
90

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, +0.29% mean alpha, trader score +0.49. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.5% since posting (mean over 62 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@TheWiseAdapter·Notes algorithms reacting negatively to repeated nonfinancial uses of 'hike' in Warsh's speech.·
2026-08-28RBRK@TheWiseAdapter-0.45Calls for profit-taking in overextended SaaS and rotation toward AI hardware.
2026-08-28INTC@TheWiseAdapter+0.40Calls for profit-taking in overextended SaaS and rotation toward AI hardware.
2026-08-28AVGO@TheWiseAdapter+0.50Calls for profit-taking in overextended SaaS and rotation toward AI hardware.
2026-08-28MU@TheWiseAdapter+0.50Calls for profit-taking in overextended SaaS and rotation toward AI hardware.
2026-08-28SIVE@TheWiseAdapter-0.70Accuses a promoter of falsely claiming SIVE worked directly with MRVL.·
2026-08-28MRVL@TheWiseAdapter+0.00Accuses a promoter of falsely claiming SIVE worked directly with MRVL.
2026-08-28SIVE@TheWiseAdapter-0.75Says SIVE's prior-quarter earnings were even worse and rejects the stock.·
2026-08-28SIVE@TheWiseAdapter-0.60Explicitly declines interest in SIVE.·
2026-08-27GOOGL@TheWiseAdapter-0.10Says Google warrants are already incorporated in forecasts, limiting novelty.+1.7%
2026-08-27MRVL@TheWiseAdapter-0.15Expects AVGO to reverse higher because the MRVL-Google deal was already forecast and does not impair its thesis.-10.3%
2026-08-27AVGO@TheWiseAdapter+0.65Expects AVGO to reverse higher because the MRVL-Google deal was already forecast and does not impair its thesis.-0.7%
2026-08-27GOOGL@TheWiseAdapter+0.00Expects AVGO to reverse higher because the MRVL-Google deal was already forecast and does not impair its thesis.+1.7%
2026-08-27AVGO@TheWiseAdapter+0.00Places AVGO on tomorrow's watch list without entry intent.-0.7%
2026-08-27AVGO@TheWiseAdapter+0.55Identifies AVGO as the favored play without concrete trade mechanics.-0.7%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.