Author · brief 2026-06-22

@TheWiseIC TheWiseIC

High-conviction concentrated long picker of platform networks with a standing Tesla/Waymo bear thesis

Builds and publicly accumulates concentrated long positions

trader score
+1.40
hit rate
65%
mean α
+0.98%
signals 14d
89

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 65% hit rate, +0.98% mean alpha, trader score +1.40. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +4.5% since posting (mean over 72 mentions with price data).

RDDT and UBER longs against SPCX valuation skepticism

The author is concentrated in RDDT and UBER, with explicit RDDT adds and disclosed large RDDT and 4% UBER longs. Their distinctive read is that RDDT has underpriced catalysts and monetization upside, while UBER is less exposed to autonomy disruption than TSLA. Late in the window they added MSFT into software weakness and stayed sharply bearish on SPCX valuation.

Themes5analyst read · 2026-06-22
RDDT monetization and platform catalysts
mixedintensifying33 signals
⚠ 73% of theme signals are RDDT — flag pump risk
UBER autonomy disruption debate
mixedfading35 signals
⚠ 86% of theme signals are UBER — flag pump risk
Software rotation and AI-stack longs
mixedintensifying30 signals
SPCX valuation and speculative excess
bearintensifying13 signals
⚠ 69% of theme signals are SPCX — flag pump risk
Canadian REIT and non-AI portfolio candidates
mixedintensifying20 signals
HR.UNHOM.UNGO.UMRG.UNTNT.UNEFN.TOGRGD.TOSTN.TO
⚠ 40% of theme signals are HR.UN — flag pump risk
Direction this week

Conviction intensified around RDDT through two add signals on June 17 and a June 18 large-position disclosure, while UBER remained a consistent disclosed long framed against TSLA autonomy risk. Bearish SPCX conviction intensified late week with repeated statements that valuation is extreme and needs a 50% to 70% reset. The author also added MSFT into software weakness, while REIT take-private ideas and non-AI watchlist names remained secondary themes.

Position disclosures4skin in the game
UBER Disclosed 4% long UBER position and rejected autonomy disruption thesis held
RDDT Disclosed large RDDT long with cost basis and argued valuation is not expensive held
WMT Position disclosure signal was tagged WMT but rationale described large RDDT long, not WMT ownership unclear
COST Position disclosure signal was tagged COST but rationale described large RDDT long, not COST ownership unclear
Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
RDDT remains undervalued given rapid revenue growth, high gross margins, free cash flow, and EPS acceleration.
bullHIGH6 co-supporters
AI infrastructure spending could force mega-cap equity issuance, diluting shareholders and pressuring MSFT's multiple.
bearHIGH5 co-supporters
ServiceNow becomes a core enterprise AI workflow and agentic orchestration platform, driving durable re-rating beyond le
bullHIGH10 co-supporters
AI spending may destroy value because returns are uncertain, FCF is pressured and management keeps pivoting into costly
bearHIGH7 co-supporters
Potential S&P 500 inclusion could force index buying and produce a near-term RDDT price pop.
bullHIGH7 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02SIVE@TheWiseIC+0.65Bullish on SIVE/SIVEF and may scoop shares. — Discloses bullish stance and possible share buying in SIVE/SIVEF.·
2026-07-02SIVEF@TheWiseIC+0.65Bullish on SIVE/SIVEF and may scoop shares. — Discloses bullish stance and possible share buying in SIVE/SIVEF.·
2026-07-02SIVE@TheWiseIC+0.45Will be a buyer when more capitulation appears. — Plans to buy SIVE/SIVEF after more capitulation despite 52% drawdown.·
2026-07-02SIVEF@TheWiseIC+0.45Will be a buyer when more capitulation appears. — Plans to buy SIVE/SIVEF after more capitulation despite 52% drawdown.·
2026-07-01RDDT@TheWiseIC+0.75Says RDDT move is just getting started.-1.6%
2026-07-01META@TheWiseIC+0.00Says RDDT remains cheap after 10% jump and can 2-3x long run.-4.9%
2026-07-01RDDT@TheWiseIC+0.90Says RDDT remains cheap after 10% jump and can 2-3x long run.-1.6%
2026-07-01META@TheWiseIC+0.00Very bullish on Reddit and discloses it remains largest position.-4.9%
2026-07-01RDDT@TheWiseIC+0.90Very bullish on Reddit and discloses it remains largest position.-1.6%
2026-07-01GOOG@TheWiseIC+0.00Very bullish on Reddit and discloses it remains largest position.-0.5%
2026-07-01META@TheWiseIC+0.55Calls META compute initiative a major positive easing dilution fears.-4.9%
2026-06-30TSLA@TheWiseIC+0.10Cyber cab looks impressive but author questions vision-only scaling and autonomy.-6.5%
2026-06-30NFLX@TheWiseIC-0.35Thinks NFLX likely moves lower and remains only fairly priced despite buyback valuation appeal.+8.8%
2026-06-29T.TO@TheWiseIC-0.60Avoid TU/KKR/APO/ARES/OWL and buy BAM/BLK. — Explicitly says don't buy TU for dividend; buy BAM instead and avoid private-capital peers.·
2026-06-29BAM@TheWiseIC+0.75Avoid TU/KKR/APO/ARES/OWL and buy BAM/BLK. — Explicitly says don't buy TU for dividend; buy BAM instead and avoid private-capital peers.+4.2%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.