Author

@TicTocTick TicTocTick

Macro-thematic conviction trader blending AI/semis, crypto bear takes, gold, and futures orderflow

Posts high-conviction macro and thematic frameworks alongsid

trader score
-0.52
hit rate
45%
mean α
-0.54%
signals 14d
133

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.54% mean alpha, trader score -0.52. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.1% since posting (mean over 58 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16·@TicTocTick·Recalls Black Monday's 22% one-day stock-market decline nearly 40 years ago.·
2026-10-16NQ@TicTocTick-0.65Reports Nasdaq futures down 3% with a strongly bearish reaction.·
2026-10-16·@TicTocTick·Jokes that the AI trade marked the market top and should be sold.·
2026-10-16·@TicTocTick·Reports WTI near $102 versus the $80s at the start of the week.·
2026-10-16CL@TicTocTick+0.65Reports crude oil rising from 94 to 100 in three hours.-0.1%
2026-10-16·@TicTocTick·Observes deteriorating market liquidity approaching lunchtime.·
2026-10-16SPX@TicTocTick+0.90Accumulate the S&P 500 for a multi-decade rise toward 150,000-250,000 by 2055. — Explicitly urges accumulation and provides a long-term index target range.·
2026-10-16·@TicTocTick·Explains why visible Level 2 orders omit much institutional market-order activity.·
2026-10-16·@TicTocTick·Observes rallies being sold, tight range and absent longer-timeframe buyers.·
2026-10-16·@TicTocTick·Forecasts AI-driven GDP acceleration while arguing its gains require redistribution policy.·
2026-10-16AAPL@TicTocTick+0.45Claims another successful prior AAPL call after the stock reached $350.+1.2%
2026-10-16·@TicTocTick·Warns an unidentified company's failure would cause an exceptionally large systemic bust.·
2026-10-16CRWV@TicTocTick-0.45Warns markets could crater if support fails, citing oil and CoreWeave stress.-11.7%
2026-10-16·@TicTocTick·Buy India's Nifty index as the bottom is in and it offers an anti-AI trade. — Explicit forward buy call on the Nifty index, which lacks a specified ticker symbol.·
2026-10-16CRWV@TicTocTick+0.50Claims a possible CoreWeave bailout would propel the broader market higher.-11.7%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.