@TicTocTick TicTocTick
Macro-thematic conviction trader blending AI/semis, crypto bear takes, gold, and futures orderflow
Posts high-conviction macro and thematic frameworks alongsid
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.43% mean alpha, trader score -0.30. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.4% since posting (mean over 125 mentions with price data).
TicTocTick is concentrated in momentum and squeeze dynamics, especially SPCX, while also pressing HOOD, TSLA, TLT, and INTC longs. His distinctive read is that speculative flows can keep driving pockets like SpaceX/SPCX and HOOD, even as he warns the broader market setup can get fragile under Warsh, debt, yields, and crypto pressure. Late in the window he pivots from wanting deeper SPCX selling for market health to explicitly calling himself an SPCX bull with a 222 target, while surfacing a new high-conviction INTC upside call.
Conviction is concentrated in SPCX/SpaceX squeeze mechanics, HOOD momentum, and tactical index upside, with bearish skepticism aimed at STRC/MSTR and export-control risk at ASML. There is a clear SPCX shift: he described deeper SPCX selling as healthy on June 17, then on June 18 explicitly called himself an SPCX bull with a 222 target. Position disclosure is limited to long-bond exposure, while CALL_DIRECTIONAL activity centers on initiate-long or add behavior in HOOD, TSLA, TLT, SPCX, and INTC.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @TicTocTick | +0.35 | Mentions MU at 990 and ES/MU levels needed to save the day. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ES | @TicTocTick | +0.15 | Mentions MU at 990 and ES/MU levels needed to save the day. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @TicTocTick | -0.15 | Says they are both long and underwater on MU. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ES | @TicTocTick | +0.35 | Wants 7600 amid complaint about sellers; broad bullish index tone. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @TicTocTick | · | Bullish market tone today but says will sell next week. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @TicTocTick | -0.35 | Contrasts MU down 10% with AAPL up 10%. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AAPL | @TicTocTick | +0.35 | Contrasts MU down 10% with AAPL up 10%. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | HOOD | @TicTocTick | +0.35 | Reports July 100 HOOD calls crossed 22 dollars. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | WMT | @TicTocTick | +0.35 | Walmart rallies back above 111. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ES | @TicTocTick | +0.20 | Reports ES 7600 now trading. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SCHD | @TicTocTick | +0.35 | Strong rally in SCHD with positive dividend reinvestment framing. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @TicTocTick | · | Reports only 57K jobs versus 114K expected and calls for rate cuts. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | DJT | @TicTocTick | +0.65 | Bullish on DJT at 7, thinks it is a 15 dollar stock — Explicit bullish DJT target from 7 to 15. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @TicTocTick | +0.25 | Suggests MU shorts around 1000 are trapped after buying at 1200. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AMZN | @TicTocTick | +0.20 | Amazon offers Prime members US gas discount at BP AM PM stations. | — | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.