@TiltFolio TiltFolio
Systematic trend-follower preaching gold-debasement and intermarket regime rotation with disclosed positions
Runs and markets quantitative trend-following portfolios (Ti
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 25% hit rate, -0.50% mean alpha, trader score -1.34. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.9% since posting (mean over 16 mentions with price data).
TiltFolio is chiefly positioned around a systematic gold-over-equities view, explicitly long gold and betting GLD outperforms QQQ. The author also ran a short tactical SPY buy-the-dip trade that was filled and then exited, while framing bonds as a future opportunity but saying they are not long bonds here. Berkshire is treated constructively versus insurance peers because of its cash optionality.
Conviction is concentrated in gold leadership: the author disclosed being back in gold, framed GLD as outperforming QQQ, and later reiterated still being long gold. Equity exposure was tactical, with a SPY dip-buy filled on June 17 and an exit signal on June 18, while XLE was described as a prior small-loss exit. The bond discussion is constructive for future duration returns, but the author explicitly said they are not long bonds here.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | XLE | @TiltFolio | +0.35 | Says XLE shows signs market sees future commodity outperformance. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | QQQ | @TiltFolio | -0.10 | Europe has outperformed Nasdaq and US growth stocks since Dec 2024. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | IWF | @TiltFolio | -0.10 | Europe has outperformed Nasdaq and US growth stocks since Dec 2024. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | IEV | @TiltFolio | +0.40 | MSCI Europe ETF making new all-time highs; value tends to outperform growth in inflationary regimes. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IWD | @TiltFolio | +0.35 | Trend-following system currently long IWD. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Highlights portfolio stats: losing years, drawdown and volatility versus stocks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | GLD | @TiltFolio | +0.70 | Gold rallies from here — Author says Nasdaq-to-gold rejects 200-week MA, boding well for gold. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IWD | @TiltFolio | +0.45 | System is long Russell-1000 Value amid value outperforming growth. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Author says value stocks are very bullish and outperforming growth. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IWD | @TiltFolio | +0.45 | Inflationary bull case favors gold, energy and value over growth and bonds; long IWD. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Argues 50/30/20 bonds/stocks/gold portfolio hedges inflation and currency debasement. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Sees signs market is adjusting to inflationary regime similar to 2000-2009. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IWD | @TiltFolio | +0.65 | Value hits ATH while growth lags; expects energy, gold and value to dominate future returns. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IWF | @TiltFolio | -0.25 | Value hits ATH while growth lags; expects energy, gold and value to dominate future returns. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Expects money to rotate into value stocks as value outperforms growth. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.