Author
@TiltFolio TiltFolio
grade Bx.com/TiltFolio ↗
Systematic trend-follower preaching gold-debasement and intermarket regime rotation with disclosed positions
Runs and markets quantitative trend-following portfolios (Ti
trader score
-0.18
hit rate
30%
mean α
-0.03%
signals 14d
151
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 30% hit rate, -0.03% mean alpha, trader score -0.18. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.8% since posting (mean over 80 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | SVIX | @TiltFolio | -0.80 | Warns SVIX is about to deteriorate substantially further. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | XLE | @TiltFolio | +0.10 | Links energy-led inflation and XLE highs to a historical tendency toward higher volatility. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SVIX | @TiltFolio | -0.35 | Reports SVIX and other short-volatility ETFs at 20-day lows, while saying the implication is unclear. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @TiltFolio | +0.20 | Explains why the strategy avoids direct semiconductor exposure and warns of AI-bull-market unwind risk. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SMH | @TiltFolio | -0.45 | Explains why the strategy avoids direct semiconductor exposure and warns of AI-bull-market unwind risk. | -2.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | UBS | @TiltFolio | -0.25 | Argues relocation would weaken UBS's Swiss prestige and expose it to domestic competitors. | -2.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | IWF | @TiltFolio | -0.15 | Discloses a long value allocation and contrasts its uptrend with flat growth stocks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | IWD | @TiltFolio | +0.55 | Discloses a long value allocation and contrasts its uptrend with flat growth stocks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Expects markets to move higher after a powerful intraday reversal. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @TiltFolio | +0.30 | Says strong SMH dip buying improves the broader index outlook and reduces breakdown risk. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SMH | @TiltFolio | +0.40 | Says strong SMH dip buying improves the broader index outlook and reduces breakdown risk. | -2.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Says markets may not be out of danger given crude-oil behavior. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Rejects an all-clear interpretation while commodities are moving sharply. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Notes extreme opening pessimism followed by unusually intense dip buying. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Acknowledges prior selloff forecasts were wrong after intense dip buying reversed AI-stock pressure. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.