Author
@TiltFolio TiltFolio
grade Bx.com/TiltFolio ↗
Systematic trend-follower preaching gold-debasement and intermarket regime rotation with disclosed positions
Runs and markets quantitative trend-following portfolios (Ti
trader score
-0.83
hit rate
25%
mean α
-0.17%
signals 14d
154
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 25% hit rate, -0.17% mean alpha, trader score -0.83. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.8% since posting (mean over 57 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Says earlier optimism has faded and the market outlook into month-end is uncertain. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Notes trend-following systems trade most during losing whipsaw periods. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Forecasts the initial decline in stocks and gold will reverse by next week. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Argues market reactions, not speeches or commentary, are the relevant evidence of policy change. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | GLD | @TiltFolio | -0.35 | Notes gold weakness as the dollar index retakes its 200-day moving average and advises patience. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Warns stocks are ignoring rising long-term rates despite growing capital demand. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Expects gold to continue rising. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | GLD | @TiltFolio | +0.70 | Expects gold to break out and continue rallying around Jackson Hole and month-end rebalancing. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | ALLW | @TiltFolio | +0.30 | Offers ALLW as a proxy for a portfolio signal with over 50 years of historical performance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Interprets cross-asset portfolio behavior as pricing policies supportive of asset prices. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SOXL | @TiltFolio | +0.00 | Uses SOXL as a proxy to illustrate leverage effects while noting volatility drag. | -9.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Explains allocating between trend and mean-reversion using regime detection. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Presents trend-following as the unifying framework for systematic strategies. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @TiltFolio | · | Endorses trend-following as a simple and effective investment approach. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPX | @TiltFolio | -0.30 | Argues future diversification away from weak stocks may beat narrow leveraged equity bets. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.