Author

@tobaccoinsider tobaccoinsider

Attributed real-time desk covering the entire global tobacco and nicotine complex

Aggregate and lightly analyze regulatory, earnings, analyst,

trader score
+0.04
hit rate
50%
mean α
+0.04%
signals 14d
13

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 8 scored bets: 50% hit rate, +0.04% mean alpha, trader score +0.04. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.2% since posting (mean over 7 mentions with price data).

Recent signals13receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02IMB@tobaccoinsider-0.20Kenneth Dart sold 8.7M Imperial Brands shares, stake fell below 3%.·
2026-07-01PM@tobaccoinsider-0.25PMI accused of using AI to generate consumer responses opposing EU nicotine rules; company denies wrongdoing.+2.6%
2026-06-30PM@tobaccoinsider+0.5020 ZYN products received modified risk granted orders across two strengths and ten flavors.+0.8%
2026-06-30PM@tobaccoinsider+0.50FDA MRTP authorization allows 20 ZYN products to market lower-risk claim versus cigarettes.+0.8%
2026-06-30PM@tobaccoinsider+0.50FDA authorized 20 ZYN nicotine pouch products to market a specific modified-risk claim.+0.8%
2026-06-29BATS@tobaccoinsider-0.25BAT workforce changes affect a fifth of its 47,000 global employees.·
2026-06-29BTI@tobaccoinsider-0.25BAT workforce changes affect a fifth of its 47,000 global employees.-1.5%
2026-06-29BATS@tobaccoinsider-0.30BAT announces Fit2Win overhaul with 5,500 layoffs and 3,500 positions transferred to partners.·
2026-06-29BTI@tobaccoinsider-0.30BAT announces Fit2Win overhaul with 5,500 layoffs and 3,500 positions transferred to partners.-1.5%
2026-06-26·@tobaccoinsider·FDA proposed rule requiring overseas vape manufacturers to register and list products to curb illegal vapes.·
2026-06-26·@tobaccoinsider·PMI plans IQOS launch in Argentina by end-2026 after heated tobacco ban is lifted.·
2026-06-23·@tobaccoinsider·Frames tobacco as a shelter in volatile markets.·
2026-06-23SHOP@tobaccoinsider-0.20Reports Shopify set to ban vape sales on U.S. platform after AG pressure.+10.9%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.