Author · brief 2026-06-22

@trhy_s_filipom trhy_s_filipom

Named retail-fundamental analyst dissecting earnings, GLP-1 pharma, semis, and AI-vs-SaaS

Posts real-time earnings reactions and original fundamental

trader score
+0.39
hit rate
50%
mean α
+0.33%
signals 14d
60

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, +0.33% mean alpha, trader score +0.39. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.8% since posting (mean over 42 mentions with price data).

Event-driven tech feed with small ADBE long pivot

Author is mostly running an event-driven tech tape: streaming M&A, SaaS rotation, AI hardware supply chain, cloud lease friction, and SpaceX/Starlink valuation pressure. Distinctive tilt is not a broad market call but selective willingness to buy ADBE after initially hesitating, while staying skeptical on SPCX and certain hardware/product stories. Late-week shift is clearest in ADBE: hesitant after management turnover, then bought a smaller position two days later.

Themes5analyst read · 2026-06-22
Streaming and media M&A speculation
mixedintensifying9 signals
⚠ 44% of theme signals are NFLX — flag pump risk
SaaS transition and ADBE buy decision
mixedintensifying10 signals
⚠ 40% of theme signals are ADBE — flag pump risk
AI hardware and semiconductor supply constraints
mixedconsistent9 signals
SpaceX valuation and Starlink ARPU pressure
bearintensifying8 signals
⚠ 50% of theme signals are SPCX — flag pump risk
Platform products and company leadership resets
mixedintensifying9 signals
Direction this week

The clearest flip is ADBE: author was hesitant after the 70% drawdown and CEO/CFO exits on 2026-06-17, then bought a smaller position on 2026-06-19. Otherwise, the window is consistent rather than escalating: event-driven media M&A and tech product/news items dominate, with persistent skepticism on SPCX valuation and Starlink ARPU pressure. Concentration is moderate, with ADBE and SPCX each making up 50% of their respective theme signals.

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-03USA@trhy_s_filipom+0.25Started buying my SaaS ETF this week. — Author says they began buying their SaaS ETF this week after a 35% three-day drop.·
2026-07-02META@trhy_s_filipom-0.55Says Meta effectively admitted its AI is useless and must provide capacity to third parties.
2026-07-02AMD@trhy_s_filipom+0.35Jokes about friend picking PYPL/STLA down and author pushing AMD/ASML/NFLX up.
2026-07-02PYPL@trhy_s_filipom-0.25Jokes about friend picking PYPL/STLA down and author pushing AMD/ASML/NFLX up.
2026-07-02NFLX@trhy_s_filipom+0.25Jokes about friend picking PYPL/STLA down and author pushing AMD/ASML/NFLX up.
2026-07-02ASML@trhy_s_filipom+0.35Jokes about friend picking PYPL/STLA down and author pushing AMD/ASML/NFLX up.
2026-07-02STLA@trhy_s_filipom-0.25Jokes about friend picking PYPL/STLA down and author pushing AMD/ASML/NFLX up.
2026-07-02·@trhy_s_filipom·Comments on KOSPI over the last week and leverage/debt concerns.·
2026-07-02NFLX@trhy_s_filipom+0.45Added NFLX, now 4th largest position. — Says he added NFLX and it is now his 4th largest position.
2026-07-01CRWV@trhy_s_filipom-0.30Reports CRWV/NBIS sold off after META announced selling raw compute capacity.-4.6%
2026-07-01META@trhy_s_filipom+0.10Reports CRWV/NBIS sold off after META announced selling raw compute capacity.-4.9%
2026-07-01NBIS@trhy_s_filipom-0.30Reports CRWV/NBIS sold off after META announced selling raw compute capacity.-5.9%
2026-07-01META@trhy_s_filipom+0.45Positive take on META planning to sell compute capacity like AMZN Bedrock/neoclouds.-4.9%
2026-07-01AMZN@trhy_s_filipom+0.00Positive take on META planning to sell compute capacity like AMZN Bedrock/neoclouds.+0.4%
2026-07-01BYD@trhy_s_filipom+0.35Compares BYD stock decline and EV deliveries against expected Tesla Q2 deliveries.-0.1%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.