Author

@TruthGundlach TruthGundlach

Contrarian credit skeptic dissecting the private-credit boom's marks and NAV mechanics

Posts skeptical, mechanistic commentary on private credit an

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
5

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).

Recent signals5receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@TruthGundlach·The author sarcastically argues that the Fed Chair delivered forward guidance while denouncing it.·
2026-08-28·@TruthGundlach·Highlighting Warsh's opening reference to hikes implies a hawkish policy interpretation.·
2026-08-21·@TruthGundlach·Raises serious concerns about opaque affiliated transactions and concentrated ratings practices.·
2026-08-19·@TruthGundlach·Reports US debt surpassing $40T and Treasury doubling periodic purchases of long-term bonds.·
2026-08-15·@TruthGundlach·Warns that financial innovation and questionable ratings may be signs of a risk-market top·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.