Author
@TylerHardt TylerHardt
grade Ax.com/TylerHardt ↗
Forensic AI-bubble bear who dissects hyperscaler accounting and special situations
Original fundamental and macro analysis on financial Twitter
trader score
+0.17
hit rate
60%
mean α
+0.09%
signals 14d
88
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +0.09% mean alpha, trader score +0.17. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.1% since posting (mean over 63 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | OIL | @TylerHardt | +0.00 | Argues oil-price intervention will shift trading activity toward refined products. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | USO | @TylerHardt | +0.00 | Argues oil-price intervention will shift trading activity toward refined products. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @TylerHardt | · | The author sharply disputes widely quoted Venezuelan oil-reserve estimates. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @TylerHardt | +0.00 | The author mocks an $800 SpaceX target and mentions NVDA without a clear stance. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPCX | @TylerHardt | -0.65 | The author mocks an $800 SpaceX target and mentions NVDA without a clear stance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | ZM | @TylerHardt | +0.65 | Argues Zoom is inexpensive at 9.6x forward earnings while growth and margins accelerate. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | OIL | @TylerHardt | +0.00 | Argues crude-price manipulation does not alter refined-product supply, demand, or consumer prices. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | USO | @TylerHardt | +0.00 | Argues crude-price manipulation does not alter refined-product supply, demand, or consumer prices. | +1.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | QURE | @TylerHardt | +0.20 | Expresses upbeat support for QURE without a trade instruction. | -4.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | GDX | @TylerHardt | +0.80 | I do not own enough gold and intend to increase exposure. — Explicitly says existing gold exposure is insufficient, implying an intended add. | -2.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | GLD | @TylerHardt | +0.80 | I do not own enough gold and intend to increase exposure. — Explicitly says existing gold exposure is insufficient, implying an intended add. | -3.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | SPCX | @TylerHardt | -0.70 | Argues Starlink's valuation is undermined by reported 20% monthly customer churn. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | OIL | @TylerHardt | +0.45 | Positive oil reaction is implied, but the linked chart is required for interpretation. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | USO | @TylerHardt | +0.45 | Positive oil reaction is implied, but the linked chart is required for interpretation. | +2.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | UBER | @TylerHardt | +0.35 | Notes UBER attempting to break out of its trading range. | -1.9% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.