@ulisesarayad ulisesarayad
Bilingual macro-valuation analyst bridging US AI/semis earnings and Chilean equity markets
Posts data-heavy valuation and macro analysis, arguing wheth
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, +0.19% mean alpha, trader score +0.53. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -5.5% since posting (mean over 9 mentions with price data).
This author is not making explicit trades in the window; the feed is mostly market-monitoring around SpaceX/SPCX, Chilean equity flows, and broad index weakness after FOMC. The distinctive read is more macro and positioning-oriented than single-name directional, with attention to AFP and mutual-fund buying in Chile plus hawkish rate implications. No clear late-week flip, add, trim, or intensified position disclosure appears in the supplied signals.
No explicit trade direction, position add, trim, exit, or flip appears in the supplied window. The author’s attention is concentrated in neutral SpaceX/SPCX framing, Chilean flow monitoring, and mildly bearish macro/index observations after FOMC. Concentration risk is highest in SPCX because all SpaceX-related signals point to the same ticker without a clear stance.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | SOXX | @ulisesarayad | +0.25 | Promotes ETF portfolio outperforming S&P 500, including SOXX, China, and Magnificent Seven. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @ulisesarayad | · | Headline says Chile IMACEC falls, unemployment rises, central bank in play. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @ulisesarayad | · | Analyzes Chile IMACEC declines, mining weakness and policy timing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @ulisesarayad | · | Says everyone now discusses a possible central bank rate cut. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @ulisesarayad | · | Says economy is in technical recession and June IMACEC needed is unlikely. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @ulisesarayad | · | Calls IMACEC data bad and says economy is in technical recession. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SQM | @ulisesarayad | +0.15 | Headline says IPSA rises despite economic deterioration and SQM leads Chilean market. | -1.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SQM | @ulisesarayad | +0.25 | Notes China lithium futures are positive for now, tagged to SQM. | -1.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SQM | @ulisesarayad | +0.25 | Headline says Chile's IPSA rises despite economic deterioration, led by SQM, Itau and Colbun. | -1.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | LTM | @ulisesarayad | +0.10 | Headline says IPSA seeks 11000 points with SQM, LTM, Cencosud and Vapores in focus. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SQM | @ulisesarayad | +0.10 | Headline says IPSA seeks 11000 points with SQM, LTM, Cencosud and Vapores in focus. | -1.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @ulisesarayad | · | Chile retail sales growth accelerated to 4.8% y/y in May 2026 from 4.1% in April. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @ulisesarayad | · | Chile manufacturing production fell 7.20% y/y in May 2026. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @ulisesarayad | · | Chile industrial production declined 7.50% y/y in May 2026. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @ulisesarayad | · | Chile copper output fell 13.8% y/y to 399,954 metric tons in April 2026 after a 9% drop. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.