Author

@ulisesarayad ulisesarayad

Bilingual macro-valuation analyst bridging US AI/semis earnings and Chilean equity markets

Posts data-heavy valuation and macro analysis, arguing wheth

trader score
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hit rate
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signals 14d
23

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.7% since posting (mean over 3 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16·@ulisesarayad·Claims Chilean copper futures sales to China caused $4.7 billion in losses.·
2026-10-16·@ulisesarayad·Argues derivatives, not long-term bonds, caused the pension-fund losses.·
2026-10-16·@ulisesarayad·Introduces analysis of swaps and large losses in Chile's Fondo E pension fund.·
2026-10-15·@ulisesarayad·References PCE projections based on CPI and PPI data, but supplies no values.·
2026-10-15·@ulisesarayad·Criticizes inconsistent claims about bonds and purported hedging derivatives.·
2026-10-15·@ulisesarayad·Explains why Chile's Fondo E carried excess duration and risk under an outdated regime.·
2026-10-15C@ulisesarayad+0.00Explains how rising floating rates generated mark-to-market swap losses for Chilean pension funds.-2.1%
2026-10-15BAC@ulisesarayad+0.00Explains how rising floating rates generated mark-to-market swap losses for Chilean pension funds.-2.2%
2026-10-15·@ulisesarayad·Criticizes pension-fund duration management and the use of rate swaps.·
2026-10-15·@ulisesarayad·Introduces analysis of Chilean stocks being bought and sold by institutional fund types.·
2026-10-15ECH@ulisesarayad+0.20Notes unusually interesting ECH volume, probably driven by foreign investors.·
2026-10-15·@ulisesarayad·Says the unidentified asset closed above its 200-day moving average.·
2026-10-15·@ulisesarayad·States that the unidentified asset's longer-term uptrend remains intact.·
2026-10-15IPSA@ulisesarayad+0.25Reports that Chile's IPSA index continues to hold its 200-day moving average.·
2026-10-12·@ulisesarayad·Morgan Stanley sees a $240B AI-linked power-infrastructure opportunity through 2029.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.