@Unclestocknotes Unclestocknotes
Anonymous AI-hardware supply-chain analyst mapping capex themes to tickered beneficiary baskets
Writes long-form, tickered theses on the AI semiconductor an
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.66% mean alpha, trader score -0.96. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -5.1% since posting (mean over 42 mentions with price data).
Unclestocknotes is concentrated on AI infrastructure beneficiaries across power distribution, advanced packaging, optical components, and compute/networking. The distinctive read is broadening beyond megacap AI into second-derivative suppliers such as ONTO, AMKR, VRT, ETN, EOSE, LITE, and NBIS, while still flagging valuation and event-risk discipline in MU, SNOW, CELH, and FISV. No clear position flip appears in the window; disclosed exposure centers on holding CRWV profits while noting NBIS improvement.
Conviction is consistent rather than visibly flipping, with repeated focus on AI infrastructure second derivatives: power chains, advanced packaging, optical/photonics, and compute/networking catalysts. The only explicit position disclosure is held CRWV profit exposure while noting NBIS improvement; there are no CALL_DIRECTIONAL add, trim, exit, or initiation signals in the payload. Concentration is broad across 44 tickers, reducing single-name pump risk, though AI infrastructure narratives dominate the window.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | SYNA | @Unclestocknotes | +0.50 | Discusses Onsemi acquisition of Synaptics and industry implications. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ON | @Unclestocknotes | -0.10 | Discusses Onsemi acquisition of Synaptics and industry implications. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | COHR | @Unclestocknotes | +0.20 | SEC filing shows AXT subsidiary signed development and supply agreement with Coherent. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AXTI | @Unclestocknotes | +0.45 | SEC filing shows AXT subsidiary signed development and supply agreement with Coherent. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @Unclestocknotes | +0.70 | Long-form AI semis thesis on custom HBM, cooling, optical interconnects and packaging beneficiaries. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MRVL | @Unclestocknotes | +0.65 | Long-form AI semis thesis on custom HBM, cooling, optical interconnects and packaging beneficiaries. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ASX | @Unclestocknotes | +0.35 | Long-form AI semis thesis on custom HBM, cooling, optical interconnects and packaging beneficiaries. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | RMBS | @Unclestocknotes | +0.65 | Long-form AI semis thesis on custom HBM, cooling, optical interconnects and packaging beneficiaries. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | VRT | @Unclestocknotes | +0.60 | Long-form AI semis thesis on custom HBM, cooling, optical interconnects and packaging beneficiaries. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | COHR | @Unclestocknotes | +0.50 | Long-form AI semis thesis on custom HBM, cooling, optical interconnects and packaging beneficiaries. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Unclestocknotes | · | Reports DOJ/DHS interim final rule implementing Safe Skies Act C-UAS authority. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ADBE | @Unclestocknotes | +0.40 | HSBC upgrades ADBE to Buy from Hold and raises PT from 282 to 308. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Unclestocknotes | · | Suggests data may support Warsh continuing not to cut rates. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NVDA | @Unclestocknotes | +0.60 | Describes Nvidia revenue-share and credit-support model with GPU deployment details. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MSFT | @Unclestocknotes | +0.35 | Microsoft announces $2.5B Frontier Company with 6,000 AI specialists for client AI adoption. | — | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.