trader score
-0.43
hit rate
40%
mean α
-0.45%
signals 14d
10
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -0.45% mean alpha, trader score -0.43. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -9.2% since posting (mean over 8 mentions with price data).
Recent signals10receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | IREN | @XCapitalMgmt | +0.70 | Bullish multi-quarter thesis cites institutional ownership, volume support and improving fundamentals. | -15.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | IREN | @XCapitalMgmt | +0.35 | Views localized alignment rules as painful near term but potentially reducing long-term federal-ban risk. | -15.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | · | @XCapitalMgmt | · | Presents a framework in which datacenter opposition may structurally favor hyperscalers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | HIMS | @XCapitalMgmt | +0.70 | Strongly endorses HIMS as a scaled personalized-health platform with a differentiated distribution model. | -9.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | MRNA | @XCapitalMgmt | +0.45 | Praises Moderna's AI-enabled medical breakthrough as the model needed to sustain public support for AI. | +3.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | BTC | @XCapitalMgmt | +0.25 | Notes BTC held near the low $60Ks despite macro pessimism, implying resilience. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | OPEN | @XCapitalMgmt | +0.35 | Reports OPEN is up 366% year over year and remains above projected trend. | -2.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-17 | IREN | @XCapitalMgmt | +0.35 | Argues Druckenmiller's stake could attract copy flows against elevated short interest. | -21.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-17 | MSFT | @XCapitalMgmt | +0.00 | Long-term IREN rerating thesis favors scaled revenue and cash flow over temporary deal-driven candles. | +6.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-17 | IREN | @XCapitalMgmt | +0.75 | Long-term IREN rerating thesis favors scaled revenue and cash flow over temporary deal-driven candles. | -21.0% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.