Author · brief 2026-06-22

@Yeah_Dave Yeah_Dave

grade Bx.com/Yeah_Dave ↗

Transparent high-conviction AI-compute and space thematic trader who shows his accounting work

Posts real-time tickered, reasoned long calls and position u

trader score
-0.56
hit rate
50%
mean α
-0.87%
signals 14d
57

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.87% mean alpha, trader score -0.56. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -11.9% since posting (mean over 39 mentions with price data).

Space adds and Kioxia valuation gap dominate bullish tape

Yeah_Dave is mainly trading ASTS/RKLB around ASTS satellite deployment de-risking while keeping a bullish Kioxia/KXIAY valuation-gap thesis versus SNDK/WDC. Distinctive reads are that ASTS threatens SpaceX mobile ambitions, Kioxia still has upside into institutional/Nasdaq catalysts, and SHAZ moved up in sizing after NVDA/institutional validation. Late week, he re-bought ASTS/RKLB after ASTS reached the 70s and disclosed space exposure had rebounded to about 30% after being cut from 40% to 20%.

Themes4analyst read · 2026-06-22
◆ASTS deployment and SpaceX mobile competition
mixedintensifying26 signals
ASTSRKLBSPCX
⚠ 50% of theme signals are ASTS — flag pump risk
▲Kioxia valuation gap and NAND listing catalysts
bullintensifying11 signals
KXIAYSNDKWDC
⚠ 45% of theme signals are KXIAY — flag pump risk
▲SHAZ validation and disclosed small-cap longs
bullintensifying7 signals
SHAZNVDABRUN
⚠ 57% of theme signals are SHAZ — flag pump risk
◆Space-adjacent valuation comparisons beyond ASTS
mixedNEW4 signals
PLLUNR
⚠ 50% of theme signals are PL — flag pump risk
Direction this week

Conviction is concentrated in ASTS/RKLB adds after ASTS completed the three-satellite separation sequence, with explicit space allocation moving back toward 30% after being cut to 20%. Kioxia/KXIAY remained a consistent bullish valuation-gap theme versus SNDK/WDC, while SHAZ emerged as a new disclosed long with sizing validation tied to NVDA and institutions. Pump-risk is highest in ASTS and SHAZ because each dominates its respective theme.

Position disclosures3skin in the game
SHAZ Disclosed long SHAZ and said it is on a good trajectory. held
BRUN Disclosed long BRUN alongside SHAZ and said both are on good trajectories. held
Space sector allocation moved from 40% to 20% and now sits near 30%. unclear
Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
▲BRUN’s contracted revenue, ARR ramp, backlog and customer quality justify a materially higher market capitalization.
bullHIGH7 co-supporters
▲Capital is rotating into photonics and physical AI infrastructure, making AAOI a leadership beneficiary within the new m
bullHIGH6 co-supporters
▲AI infrastructure demand and NVIDIA/Dell ecosystem ties make BRUN a beneficiary of constrained compute capacity.
bullHIGH5 co-supporters
▼BRUN’s economics may be weaker than bulls claim because free cash flow relies on lease financing and prepayments.
bearHIGH5 co-supporters
▲BRUN offers better risk-reward than several neocloud peers because delivered fundamentals and valuation are more attract
bullHIGH4 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02BE@Yeah_Dave+0.55Back in BE via $260 limit orders; will decide whether to keep it. — Author says BE limit orders hit and he is back in after discount and order news.—
2026-07-02INFQ@Yeah_Dave+0.65INFQ seen as undervalued quantum name with analysts and executive order catalyst ahead.—
2026-07-02·@Yeah_Dave·Author says he decided to back off for now, but no ticker specified.·
2026-07-02NBIS@Yeah_Dave+0.45Added a little NBIS today in the $210s. — Author says he added NBIS while otherwise sitting out AI bottleneck trade.—
2026-06-30SNDK@Yeah_Dave+0.30Frames AI and robotics scaling as supportive for memory demand while advising nimbleness.-23.3%
2026-06-30DRAM@Yeah_Dave+0.30Frames AI and robotics scaling as supportive for memory demand while advising nimbleness.·
2026-06-30MU@Yeah_Dave+0.30Frames AI and robotics scaling as supportive for memory demand while advising nimbleness.-15.5%
2026-06-30INFQ@Yeah_Dave+0.35Says he only sees good things aside from price action.-7.6%
2026-06-30MU@Yeah_Dave+0.65Bought MU after seeing the numbers. — Author says they saw MU numbers and bought, implying current long entry/action.-15.5%
2026-06-30SNDK@Yeah_Dave+0.20Recaps taking profits after +1,300% and rotating into other names with gains listed.-23.3%
2026-06-30DRAM@Yeah_Dave+0.20Recaps taking profits after +1,300% and rotating into other names with gains listed.·
2026-06-30ASTS@Yeah_Dave+0.20Recaps taking profits after +1,300% and rotating into other names with gains listed.-4.2%
2026-06-30BE@Yeah_Dave+0.20Recaps taking profits after +1,300% and rotating into other names with gains listed.-10.5%
2026-06-30MU@Yeah_Dave+0.20Recaps taking profits after +1,300% and rotating into other names with gains listed.-15.5%
2026-06-30RKLB@Yeah_Dave+0.20Recaps taking profits after +1,300% and rotating into other names with gains listed.-1.2%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.