Ticker brief
ELF ELF BEAUTY INC
Consumer, Non-cyclical · Cosmetics/Personal Care
last close
$114.24
1 day
-0.7%
14 days
+4.6%
mkt cap
$4.5B
signals 14d
21
authors 14d
14
crowd 14d
-0.4σfade
Options inteloptions-surface reads · latest available day per source
| metric | reading | context |
|---|---|---|
| IV — ATM 30d | 72% mid · 64 pctile own 1y | IV/HV 1.86× |
| Skew — 25Δ RR 30d | -0.012 65 pctile own 1y | balanced vs own range |
| Net dealer OI (NDOI) | +3.92 elevated | 5-session Δ +1.30 (as of 2026-07-06) |
| OI alarm | quiet | last alarm 2026-05-21 (z=2.6) |
| Crowd state | victory-lap fade active | flagged 2026-07-01 (MC3f / MC3L exhaustion) |
Sentiment — last 14 days
daily mean sentiment, 2026-10-05 → 2026-10-16 · now +0.12 (−1 bearish … +1 bullish)
Who spoke14
| author | grade | trader score | signals | mean sent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @MartyChargin | C | -0.56 | 5 | +0.34 |
| @HolySmokas | C | +1.44 | 3 | +0.67 |
| @fj_nextstage | C | -2.23 | 2 | +0.05 |
| @KabraxFX | B | +1.09 | 1 | -0.60 |
| @snorlax_uw | C | · | 1 | +0.20 |
| @ClassicRoy | C | -1.10 | 1 | +0.20 |
| @kulturdesken | B | +0.49 | 1 | +0.40 |
| @1000xStocks | C | +1.80 | 1 | +0.50 |
| @csidetrader | C | +0.36 | 1 | +0.25 |
| @ThePupOfWallSt | C | -1.47 | 1 | +0.35 |
| @cperruna | B | +0.08 | 1 | +0.65 |
| @Braden_Hoffman_ | C | +0.23 | 1 | +0.45 |
| @RichardMoglen | B | +0.15 | 1 | +0.55 |
| @AlphaScout360 | C | -0.12 | 1 | +0.00 |
Recent signals21of 21 in 14d — receipts included
| date (PT) | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | @MartyChargin | +0.25 | Reports a product collaboration between e.l.f. and Liquid Death. | +0.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | @AlphaScout360 | +0.00 | Identifies ELF as still in an Elliott Wave 4 with a possible triangle. | +0.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | @RichardMoglen | +0.55 | Reports an ELF breakout after zero relative measured volatility the prior day. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | @Braden_Hoffman_ | +0.45 | Reports a completed lower gap fill and expects upper gaps next. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | @cperruna | +0.65 | Reports ELF's strong performance and discloses continued share ownership. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | @ThePupOfWallSt | +0.35 | Notes that ELF is moving higher during the session. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | @MartyChargin | +0.25 | Playfully describes ELF tracking its moving averages, with details dependent on the chart. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | @csidetrader | +0.25 | Summarizes Piper Sandler's teen survey across beauty, social media, gaming and streaming. | +5.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | @HolySmokas | +0.60 | Recaps past purchases at low prices as examples of successful investing. | +4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | @MartyChargin | +0.40 | Notes broad retail-stock strength and suggests XRT may be forming a bottom. | +4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | @MartyChargin | +0.65 | Expresses strong optimism about ELF and a favorable seasonal setup. | +4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | @MartyChargin | +0.15 | HELE retreated after earnings but remained up 6%, with ELF seeing sympathy movement. | +7.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @fj_nextstage | +0.20 | Lists IBD50 additions and removals, including technical reasons tied to the 50-day average. | +8.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @1000xStocks | +0.50 | Bullish thesis cites market-share gains and the $1 billion Rhode Skin acquisition. | +8.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @kulturdesken | +0.40 | Discloses diversified long positions in LLY, ELF and TOST that are performing well. | +8.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @ClassicRoy | +0.20 | Lists analyst rating actions and price targets; output is capped at the first six tickers. | +8.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @snorlax_uw | +0.20 | Lists rating decisions and price targets across multiple equities, including upgrades and maintained ratings. | +8.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-06 | @HolySmokas | +0.60 | Presents a basket of beaten-down stocks whose current concerns should fade over one to two years. | +11.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-06 | @HolySmokas | +0.80 | Discloses a long-held ELF position and a long-term price target above $400. | +11.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @KabraxFX | -0.60 | Discloses additions to four positions and cuts in ELF and ORCL. | +10.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @fj_nextstage | -0.10 | Reports IBD50 additions and removals with technical observations. | +10.1% | tweet ↗ |
“Since then” = price move from the close on the signal's date (PT) to the latest close — what happened after they said it, not a backtest. A — means no trading session has closed since the signal yet. Sentiment is our extracted per-tweet score, −1…+1.