Author · brief 2026-06-22

@cperruna cperruna

Disciplined long-only stage-analyst who owns quality mega-cap compounders for the long haul

Posts long-term, transparent buy/hold/trim calls on large-ca

trader score
-2.06
hit rate
40%
mean α
-1.28%
signals 14d
41

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -1.28% mean alpha, trader score -2.06. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.4% since posting (mean over 31 mentions with price data).

Chart discipline dominates with RDDT held and TTD avoided

cperruna is mostly chart- and valuation-driven this week: holding RDDT, disclosing an underwater ELF position, and repeatedly flagging TTD as a severe laggard still trapped in stage 4. The distinctive read is less sector-specific and more process-oriented: avoid overvalued broken leaders, respect the 200d moving average, and favor names building bases. No explicit directional trade calls or news breaks appeared in the payload.

Themes4analyst read · 2026-06-22
Broken growth leaders and stage 4 risk
bearconsistent9 signals
⚠ 67% of theme signals are ADBE — flag pump risk
Disclosed growth holdings under technical review
mixedconsistent3 signals
⚠ 67% of theme signals are RDDT — flag pump risk
Constructive bases and selective chart setups
bullconsistent3 signals
⚠ 67% of theme signals are HOOD — flag pump risk
Capitalism compounders versus fiscal drag
mixedfading4 signals
⚠ 100% of theme signals are MSFT — flag pump risk
Direction this week

The author is concentrated on chart discipline: bearish on broken stage 4 growth leaders like TTD and ADBE while still holding RDDT and ELF. There are no explicit adds, trims, exits, or CALL_DIRECTIONAL trades in the payload, so position activity is limited to disclosed holds or unclear status updates. Pump-risk is most relevant around repeated RDDT position attention and repeated TTD downside focus, though signal count is small.

Position disclosures3skin in the game
RDDT Reports RDDT up sharply on the day and says shares are still held. held
RDDT Says only RDDT, implying it remains the current or preferred holding. unclear
ELF Discloses ELF position, basis and loss, while noting technical risk and remaining potential. held
Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
The collapse to 2018-era lows and stage-four structure indicate technical damage remains severe.
bearHIGH8 co-supporters
MELI is undervalued relative to its revenue growth, peer multiples, balance sheet, and long-duration compounding profile
bullHIGH9 co-supporters
Deep valuation reset, large drawdown and strong FCF make NOW a mispriced quality compounder worth accumulating.
bullHIGH9 co-supporters
Multiple respected investors and funds added SUNB in Q1 2026, signaling institutional conviction and potential upside fo
bullHIGH6 co-supporters
Nike remains in a bearish long-term downtrend, with failed rallies and resistance rejection pointing to further downside
bearMEDIUM6 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02V@cperruna+0.35Says Visa and Mastercard are running.
2026-07-02MA@cperruna+0.35Says Visa and Mastercard are running.
2026-07-02V@cperruna+0.45Dismisses claims Visa and Mastercard are dead as laughable.
2026-07-02MA@cperruna+0.45Dismisses claims Visa and Mastercard are dead as laughable.
2026-07-02BTC@cperruna+0.65Says Bitcoin reigns supreme over scam cryptos after Trump crypto losses.·
2026-07-01RDDT@cperruna+0.50Reports RDDT is up 40% since prior mention.-1.6%
2026-07-01META@cperruna-0.20Reports performance since March post for RDDT, PINS, META, and SNAP.-4.9%
2026-07-01PINS@cperruna+0.25Reports performance since March post for RDDT, PINS, META, and SNAP.+0.8%
2026-07-01RDDT@cperruna+0.60Reports performance since March post for RDDT, PINS, META, and SNAP.-1.6%
2026-07-01SNAP@cperruna-0.30Reports performance since March post for RDDT, PINS, META, and SNAP.+1.9%
2026-07-01RDDT@cperruna+0.50Reports RDDT up 20% and SNAP down 20% since prior post.-1.6%
2026-07-01SNAP@cperruna-0.50Reports RDDT up 20% and SNAP down 20% since prior post.+1.9%
2026-07-01META@cperruna+0.35Asks if META can recover 200DMA and discloses holding shares.-4.9%
2026-07-01ELF@cperruna+0.40Notes ELF is up 62% off lows and says still holding shares.-3.0%
2026-07-01RDDT@cperruna+0.45Says RDDT reclaimed 200DMA and is building right side of base; holding shares.-1.6%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.