Ticker brief · 2026-08-16
ES_F
Fresh highs favor bulls, but gamma support warns of chop
Lean: bullishlast close
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1 day
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14 days
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mkt cap
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signals 14d
133
authors 14d
29
crowd 14d
+0.3σ
The tape leans bullish after consecutive all-time highs, although the strongest trader-score evidence is mixed rather than decisively long. The late-week shift was the 7,838.50 all-time high close alongside ElliottForecast reiterating 8024-8211 across 3 signals. Trade structure favors buying controlled pullbacks above 7755, while a renewed loss of 7790 and 7775 would expose the bullish consensus.
No price history on file for this name (likely non-equity or unlisted) — the “since then” column below stays blank.
BULL CAMP
Bulls view the channel breakout and repeated all-time-high closes as trend confirmation, with supported pullbacks expected to resolve toward 8024-8211. Tactical longs center on 7755 support, while gamma structure offers additional upside triggers above 7810.
Key voices@3PeaksTradingMEDIUM-HIGHB+0.30@ElliottForecastMEDIUMC-0.67@csidetraderMEDIUMC-1.69@iTradeContractsLOW-MEDIUMC+1.06
“The bullish sequence remains intact, targeting 8024-8211 next week while treating pullbacks as corrective.”— @ElliottForecast · tweet ↗
BEAR / SKEPTIC
Bears argue that failed breakouts, froth and weekly trendline rejection leave ES vulnerable to a late-August retracement. The immediate mechanical warning is the break of 7790 gamma support toward 7775.
Key voices“The ES bull-pennant breakout failed, undermining the immediate continuation setup.”— @kpak82 · tweet ↗
Hypotheses9direction · basis · magnitude · supporters — NEW = first seen this week
▲ES channel breakouts and repeated all-time-high closes confirm trend continuation rather than an exhausted advance.
@csidetraderMEDIUMC-1.697s@SpartanTradingLOW-MEDIUMC-1.462s@kpak82MEDIUM-HIGHC-0.131s@iTradeContractsLOW-MEDIUMC+1.061s
▲The bullish cycle remains incomplete and should extend toward 8024-8211 after only corrective pullbacks.
@ElliottForecastMEDIUMC-0.677s
▲ES pullbacks remain tactical buys above 7755, with nearby upside objectives spanning 7783-86 through 7824.
@iTradeContractsLOW-MEDIUMC+1.066s@ElliottForecastMEDIUMC-0.672s
▲Constructive dealer gamma and a squeeze trigger above 7810 can support faster ES travel toward upside walls.
@3PeaksTradingMEDIUM-HIGHB+0.302s · insight@42tradersLOW-MEDIUMB-0.602s · insight
▼Breaking 7790 gamma support exposes 7775 and allows negative-gamma conditions to accelerate downside travel.
@42tradersLOW-MEDIUMB-0.603s · insight
▼Failed breakout structure, market froth and weekly trendline rejection favor an ES retracement into late August.
▼One additional ES high should complete the immediate advance before a three-wave pullback develops next week.
@ElliottForecastMEDIUMC-0.671s
◆ES remains range-bound until price establishes control beyond nearby support and resistance rather than merely testing them.
@iTradeContractsLOW-MEDIUMC+1.063s@3PeaksTradingMEDIUM-HIGHB+0.301s · insight@42tradersLOW-MEDIUMB-0.601s · insight
◆CME will launch E-nano equity-index futures on August 24 at one-tenth the Micro E-mini contract size.
@_Shark_TradingLOW-MEDIUMC+0.981s
Direct calls5authors taking explicit directional positions
@3PeaksTradingMEDIUM-HIGHB+0.30
Expected ES futures to reach 7818.75 by August 14, possibly that day.
@iTradeContractsLOW-MEDIUMC+1.06
Buy ES_F dips while 7755 holds, targeting 7824.
@iTradeContractsLOW-MEDIUMC+1.06
Entered long ES_F at 7765.75 with a 7755 stop and targets at 7783-86 and 7796.
@iTradeContractsLOW-MEDIUMC+1.06
Remained long ES_F from the data dip toward 7786.
@iTradeContractsLOW-MEDIUMC+1.06
Tried ES_F shorts as price action appeared to be setting up lower.
News / data points5discrete events + data quoted by authors
@csidetraderMEDIUMC-1.69
ES futures closed above their channel at a new all-time high of 7,838.50.
@csidetraderMEDIUMC-1.69
The weekly session finished at an all-time-high close of 7,835.50.
@42tradersLOW-MEDIUMB-0.60
Price broke 7790 gamma support and traveled toward the next support at 7775.
@3PeaksTradingMEDIUM-HIGHB+0.30
Muted CPI produced a rebound within the stated daily and weekly option-implied ranges.
@ElliottForecastMEDIUMC-0.67
The bullish sequence projects 8024-8211 next week, with intervening pullbacks expected to remain corrective.
Position disclosures1skin in the game
@iTradeContractsLOW-MEDIUMC+1.06
Exited an ES_F short, then later disclosed remaining long from the data dip toward 7786.
Desk readconvergence assessment
The view is directionally converged around trend continuation, but not around entry timing: bulls want supported dips while bears and neutral technicians emphasize gamma breaks, chop and late-August retracement risk. Credibility is not cleanly aligned with the bullish majority—3PeaksTrading has a -0.65 trader score, while high-scoring kpak82 at 2.22 flagged a failed breakout before later acknowledging persistent strength; the bearish camp also includes cold hands at -1.28 and -1.52. A sustained break below 7755 would overturn the tactical bull structure, while acceptance above 7810 and the recent highs would weaken the pullback case.
Sentiment — last 14 days
daily mean sentiment, 2026-08-14 → 2026-08-28 · now +0.21 (−1 bearish … +1 bullish)
Who spoke29
| author | grade | trader score | signals | mean sent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @42traders | B | -0.60 | 34 | -0.07 |
| @iTradeContracts | C | +1.06 | 17 | +0.21 |
| @ElliottForecast | C | -0.67 | 13 | +0.52 |
| @csidetrader | C | -1.69 | 11 | -0.04 |
| @dafster17 | C | -1.15 | 8 | +0.31 |
| @3PeaksTrading | B | +0.30 | 7 | -0.04 |
| @SimpleStocks_ | C | +0.24 | 4 | -0.31 |
| @hughesanalytics | A | -0.80 | 4 | -0.39 |
| @SpartanTrading | C | -1.46 | 4 | -0.09 |
| @kpak82 | C | -0.13 | 4 | -0.18 |
| @_Shark_Trading | C | +0.98 | 3 | -0.23 |
| @OptionRunners | C | +1.20 | 3 | -0.42 |
| @BurakTheScalper | C | -2.50 | 3 | -0.20 |
| @Jake__Wujastyk | B | -0.43 | 2 | -0.22 |
| @vwaptrader1 | B | +0.63 | 2 | +0.33 |
| @aynirealtor | B | -0.18 | 1 | +0.35 |
| @optionscalps | C | -0.72 | 1 | -0.15 |
| @MrTopStep | B | -0.71 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @TradesWithTom | C | -2.62 | 1 | -0.45 |
| @StockShark16 | C | -1.47 | 1 | -0.45 |
| @alphatrends | A | +0.42 | 1 | -0.40 |
| @joefriday_714 | C | +2.17 | 1 | -0.55 |
| @DonJamesTrades | C | +2.89 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @TradersCom | B | -0.89 | 1 | -0.20 |
| @upsidetrader | C | +0.58 | 1 | +0.35 |
Recent signals30of 133 in 14d — receipts included
| date (PT) | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | @SmartReversals | -0.55 | Bearish futures chart cites a shooting star, close below the 20DMA and confirming volume. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | @csidetrader | +0.25 | ES futures remain far above their weekly channel despite seasonal bearish calls. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | @csidetrader | -0.60 | Says high-flying names are battered and markets look tired after Warsh's speech. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | @ElliottForecast | +0.60 | Says ES futures are pushing higher after completing a three-wave pullback. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | @dafster17 | +0.70 | Claims the group bought the morning bottom and that swing positions are gaining. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | @3PeaksTrading | +0.45 | Notes futures clearing value above 7760 and identifies SPY 775 as a same-day gamma target. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | @iTradeContracts | +0.80 | Long ES futures with a 7840 target — Bullish futures call with an explicit price target | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | @realpristinecap | -0.20 | S&P 500 futures are declining toward the weekly point-of-control level. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | @csidetrader | +0.40 | ES futures open regular trading with a new swing high. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | @3PeaksTrading | +0.25 | Observes VIX futures and equity-index futures rising together ahead of Jackson Hole. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | @vwaptrader1 | +0.25 | Notes long overnight inventory and warns shorts if futures accept above 7752. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | @csidetrader | +0.55 | S&P futures opened and closed above an early-June swing high after Nvidia's strong earnings. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | @ElliottForecast | +0.50 | Futures are described as continuing higher after a completed correction. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | @ElliottForecast | +0.50 | Describes bullish continuation after a three-wave pullback. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @iTradeContracts | -0.25 | Calls the futures pump overly obvious, expressing skepticism about the move. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @jedimarkus77 | +0.00 | Calls attention to an ES futures level without stating a direction. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @aaronbasile | +0.45 | Identifies trapped shorts whose stops were at 7715-7720 after a Globex gap. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @kpak82 | +0.00 | Reports one week of sideways ES futures price action. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @42traders | +0.35 | Retrospectively notes that the anticipated index bounce occurred. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @iTradeContracts | +0.80 | Explicitly bullish based on daily stochastic RSI and larger-timeframe structure. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @iTradeContracts | +0.55 | Says the premium side paid off, describing completed performance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @42traders | +0.50 | Expects an immediate S&P 500 bounce based on the intraday chart. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @42traders | +0.00 | Discloses SPX calendar and broken-wing-butterfly hedges for a long-term portfolio. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @42traders | +0.00 | Identifies S&P support near 7,660 and resistance at 7,690. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @_Shark_Trading | +0.00 | States that opening ranges are established for Nasdaq and S&P futures. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @42traders | +0.00 | Refers to a clear S&P intraday chart setup but supplies no visible levels in text. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | @42traders | +0.35 | Reports strong support, a deep negative-gamma pocket and little resistance up to 7715. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | @iTradeContracts | -0.20 | Author states they have exited long S&P futures positions for the night. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | @iTradeContracts | +0.35 | Author discloses a single-lot MNQ runner being trailed alongside existing ES longs. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | @iTradeContracts | +0.65 | Author explicitly discloses an existing long S&P futures position tonight. | · | tweet ↗ |
“Since then” = price move from the close on the signal's date (PT) to the latest close — what happened after they said it, not a backtest. A — means no trading session has closed since the signal yet. Sentiment is our extracted per-tweet score, −1…+1.