Author

@aaronbasile aaronbasile

Real-time index/sector trader blending dealer-gamma, TA levels, and macro rotation

Posts intraday and swing futures/options/ETF trade plans and

trader score
+0.86
hit rate
45%
mean α
+2.21%
signals 14d
100

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, +2.21% mean alpha, trader score +0.86. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.0% since posting (mean over 53 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28XLE@aaronbasile-0.25Derisive title signals a negative view of the Fed chair across a broad market discussion.
2026-08-28IGV@aaronbasile-0.25Derisive title signals a negative view of the Fed chair across a broad market discussion.
2026-08-28SPY@aaronbasile-0.25Derisive title signals a negative view of the Fed chair across a broad market discussion.
2026-08-28QQQ@aaronbasile-0.25Derisive title signals a negative view of the Fed chair across a broad market discussion.
2026-08-28SMH@aaronbasile-0.25Derisive title signals a negative view of the Fed chair across a broad market discussion.
2026-08-28IWM@aaronbasile-0.25Derisive title signals a negative view of the Fed chair across a broad market discussion.
2026-08-28TLT@aaronbasile+0.25Rejects reserve-status panic by noting SPX and TLT remain above prior crisis levels.
2026-08-28SPX@aaronbasile+0.25Rejects reserve-status panic by noting SPX and TLT remain above prior crisis levels.·
2026-08-28TLT@aaronbasile+0.35Not a long-term bond bull but sees potential for a near-term squeeze.
2026-08-28SPY@aaronbasile+0.20Mocks extreme bearish reactions to a minor 10-basis-point SPY decline.
2026-08-28·@aaronbasile·Characterizes event-day market moves as noise comparable to options-expiry or FOMC sessions.·
2026-08-28·@aaronbasile·Reports crowded speculative longs alongside oscillator evidence of seller exhaustion.·
2026-08-28SLV@aaronbasile+0.60Buy dips in metals and bonds; do not chase the equity trend. — BTFD explicitly recommends buying weakness in metals and bonds while dismissing the equity trend as noise.
2026-08-28TLT@aaronbasile+0.60Buy dips in metals and bonds; do not chase the equity trend. — BTFD explicitly recommends buying weakness in metals and bonds while dismissing the equity trend as noise.
2026-08-28SPY@aaronbasile-0.20Buy dips in metals and bonds; do not chase the equity trend. — BTFD explicitly recommends buying weakness in metals and bonds while dismissing the equity trend as noise.

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.