Author

@aaronbasile aaronbasile

Real-time index/sector trader blending dealer-gamma, TA levels, and macro rotation

Posts intraday and swing futures/options/ETF trade plans and

trader score
+0.22
hit rate
50%
mean α
+0.06%
signals 14d
151

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, +0.06% mean alpha, trader score +0.22. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +1.0% since posting (mean over 104 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16QQQ@aaronbasile-0.25Reports QQQ's largest standard-deviation move since Liberation Day.-0.8%
2026-10-16SPY@aaronbasile+0.75SPY is headed to $760 next. — States an explicit forward SPY price target.-0.4%
2026-10-16·@aaronbasile·Questions the magnitude of oil's response and notes bonds are flat.·
2026-10-15TLT@aaronbasile+0.20Declares the bear market canceled after a failed breakdown and major reversal.+1.7%
2026-10-15IWM@aaronbasile+0.60Declares the bear market canceled after a failed breakdown and major reversal.+0.2%
2026-10-15SPY@aaronbasile+0.60Declares the bear market canceled after a failed breakdown and major reversal.-1.5%
2026-10-15IGV@aaronbasile+0.60Declares the bear market canceled after a failed breakdown and major reversal.+0.9%
2026-10-15SMH@aaronbasile+0.60Declares the bear market canceled after a failed breakdown and major reversal.-5.7%
2026-10-15QQQ@aaronbasile+0.60Declares the bear market canceled after a failed breakdown and major reversal.-3.2%
2026-10-15·@aaronbasile·Explains that a ten-minute higher high would have been the first in 36 hours.·
2026-10-15NQ_F@aaronbasile+0.40Claims realized gains of several hundred Nasdaq futures points.·
2026-10-15ES_F@aaronbasile+0.35Recaps a prior-low sweep and reclaim plus a Nasdaq futures gap fill.·
2026-10-15NQ_F@aaronbasile+0.10Recaps a prior-low sweep and reclaim plus a Nasdaq futures gap fill.·
2026-10-15SPX@aaronbasile+0.00References an SPX market-breadth chart.·
2026-10-15NQ_F@aaronbasile+0.35Sees a bullish trap below 750 but requires a ten-minute higher high for confirmation.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.