Ticker brief
MP MP MATERIALS CORP
Basic Materials · Mining
last close
$38.30
1 day
-0.7%
14 days
-17.0%
mkt cap
$9.5B
signals 14d
35
authors 14d
27
crowd 14d
-0.5σ
Options inteloptions-surface reads · latest available day per source
| metric | reading | context |
|---|---|---|
| IV — ATM 30d | 64% cheap · 8 pctile own 1y | IV/HV 1.27× |
| Skew — 25Δ RR 30d | +0.044 50 pctile own 1y | balanced vs own range |
| Net dealer OI (NDOI) | +0.81 thin | 5-session Δ -0.29 (as of 2026-07-06) |
| OI alarm | quiet | last alarm 2025-10-24 (z=2.2) |
Sentiment — last 14 days
daily mean sentiment, 2026-10-04 → 2026-10-16 · now +0.03 (−1 bearish … +1 bullish)
Who spoke27
| author | grade | trader score | signals | mean sent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @BourbonCap | B | -1.57 | 3 | +0.72 |
| @ChrisLaCoursie1 | C | -1.99 | 3 | +0.83 |
| @bugra_kurtoglu | C | -0.19 | 3 | -0.18 |
| @Trading_Sunset | C | -2.68 | 2 | +0.35 |
| @joinautopilot | C | -0.83 | 2 | +0.20 |
| @FluxCharts | C | +0.89 | 1 | +0.55 |
| @growthrapidly | C | -2.05 | 1 | +0.40 |
| @AlphaScout360 | C | -0.12 | 1 | +0.25 |
| @OracleNYSE | C | +0.83 | 1 | +0.30 |
| @twinsight_x | C | +2.87 | 1 | -0.45 |
| @MMatters22596 | C | -0.73 | 1 | +0.50 |
| @StonkValue | C | -6.11 | 1 | +0.45 |
| @robertojirusta | C | -0.38 | 1 | +0.35 |
| @Sir_Kory | C | -2.14 | 1 | +0.10 |
| @Breadddman | C | -3.15 | 1 | +0.65 |
| @MarketMaestro1 | C | -1.30 | 1 | -0.60 |
| @StockPatternPro | C | -0.75 | 1 | -0.65 |
| @GateFutures | C | · | 1 | +0.00 |
| @investmattallen | C | -0.42 | 1 | +0.55 |
| @BabaNeal007 | C | -1.88 | 1 | +0.35 |
| @OpenOutcrier | C | · | 1 | +0.25 |
| @OverkillTrading | C | -3.54 | 1 | +0.00 |
| @CyberCabDavid | C | -2.35 | 1 | +0.10 |
| @VolumePrintcess | C | -1.98 | 1 | +0.15 |
| @SixSigmaCapital | B | +0.16 | 1 | -0.55 |
Recent signals30of 35 in 14d — receipts included
| date (PT) | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | @BourbonCap | +0.70 | Long-term bullish thesis on domestic uranium and rare-earth suppliers due to geopolitical dependence. | -4.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | @HunterAllen4 | +0.60 | Presents a bullish rare-earth supply-chain thesis while watching for a double-bottom bounce. | -4.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | @JarvisFlow | -0.65 | Bearish MP assessment from negative sweep net and large sold-call prints. | -4.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | @SixSigmaCapital | -0.55 | Reports severe YoY declines across uranium and critical-mineral stocks. | -4.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | @VolumePrintcess | +0.15 | Discloses existing covered-call positions in UUUU and MP. | -8.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | @CyberCabDavid | +0.10 | Projects substantial USAR upside using 2030 revenue and peer valuation multiples. | -8.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | @joinautopilot | +0.30 | Reports over $2 billion of government commitments to rare-earth companies for equity stakes. | -8.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | @OverkillTrading | +0.00 | Promotes analysis of USAR and MP without visible conclusions. | -4.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | @OpenOutcrier | +0.25 | Recap lists unusual call activity across multiple names. | -4.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | @BourbonCap | +0.80 | Calls both strategic-minerals companies life-changing opportunities. | -4.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | @BabaNeal007 | +0.35 | Notes MP is retesting IPO VWAP and its base breakout, with a constructive assessment. | -9.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | @investmattallen | +0.55 | Bullish thesis links humanoid demand to MP's U.S. rare-earth magnet supply. | -9.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | @ChrisLaCoursie1 | +0.75 | Lists current share counts and cost bases for four holdings and calls them high-upside investments. | -9.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | @GateFutures | +0.00 | Gate launched stock futures contracts for the named instruments. | -9.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | @StockPatternPro | -0.65 | Projects MP below 40 toward 35-36 before a later bounce near 50 within a multiyear downtrend. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | @MarketMaestro1 | -0.60 | Expects MP to approach support and warns deterioration if that band breaks. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | @Breadddman | +0.65 | Argues a $400 million Pentagon investment and strategic-minerals importance imply MP is near a bottom. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | @joinautopilot | +0.10 | Reports over $2B in US government equity commitments to rare-earth firms and their current declines. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | @bugra_kurtoglu | -0.35 | Quantifies broad daily declines across five rare-earth and resource stocks. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | @Sir_Kory | +0.10 | Shares a Finviz screen of high-short-interest stocks with Buy-or-better analyst ratings. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-11 | @robertojirusta | +0.35 | Presents US rare-earth magnet manufacturing as a long-term industrial opportunity while warning about profitability. | -17.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-11 | @StonkValue | +0.45 | Frames White House priorities as generational investment themes across strategic sectors. | -17.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-10 | @MMatters22596 | +0.50 | Presents a government-backed investment basket spanning semiconductors and strategic materials. | -17.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | @twinsight_x | -0.45 | Argues easier Chinese magnet supply is adverse for the domestic producer. | -17.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @OracleNYSE | +0.30 | Reports a Pentagon initiative targeting critical-material vulnerabilities. | -17.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @bugra_kurtoglu | +0.10 | Says MP is on the author's close watch list without expressing entry intent. | -17.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @bugra_kurtoglu | -0.30 | Reports broad, sharp declines across rare-earth and uranium-related stocks. | -17.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @ChrisLaCoursie1 | +0.85 | MP is an even stronger buy today. — Explicit high-conviction buy call on MP. | -17.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @ChrisLaCoursie1 | +0.90 | Author projects fivefold upside for MP over one year. | -17.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-06 | @Trading_Sunset | +0.50 | Leans long-term bullish MP despite expecting medium-term chop. | -21.1% | tweet ↗ |
“Since then” = price move from the close on the signal's date (PT) to the latest close — what happened after they said it, not a backtest. A — means no trading session has closed since the signal yet. Sentiment is our extracted per-tweet score, −1…+1.