@BourbonCap BourbonCap
Anon long-only bull writing deep fundamental theses on quality compounders
Posts long-form, ticker-specific bullish fundamental theses
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -1.64% mean alpha, trader score -2.50. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +2.1% since posting (mean over 129 mentions with price data).
BourbonCap is mostly long-biased, led by a high-conviction META $1000 call, continued AMZN optimism, and enthusiasm for power, data-center, and SMR beneficiaries. The distinctive read is a blend of mega-cap AI cash-flow upside, underappreciated moat-company valuations, and smaller alternatives to crowded themes. No clear flip appears in the window; concentration sits in META/AMZN/VST-linked AI infrastructure and broad quality-growth baskets.
The week is broadly bullish, with META the clearest directional call and repeated support from active users, AI subscription pricing, and cash-flow growth. The author also clusters around AI infrastructure, SMR/power demand, and quality-growth valuation dislocations while surfacing smaller alternatives to crowded themes. No explicit adds, trims, exits, or position flip appeared in the input; META concentration is the main pump-risk flag.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | ONDS | @BourbonCap | +0.25 | Says ONDS below $10 should be on watchlist. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MSFT | @BourbonCap | +0.25 | Notes MSFT price-to-sales at lowest since June 2022. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NOW | @BourbonCap | +0.45 | CEO and CFO reportedly reiterated $30B revenue by 2030. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AVGO | @BourbonCap | +0.45 | States AVGO revenue is growing 60% YoY. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NVDA | @BourbonCap | +0.25 | Notes NVDA price-to-sales at lowest since Liberation day. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @BourbonCap | +0.45 | Argues META can turn off capex if ROI fails, then hit all-time highs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AMZN | @BourbonCap | +0.20 | Amazon Leo has reportedly deployed 390+ satellites. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | DLO | @BourbonCap | +0.60 | Implies DLO will be more loved at $30 than $12. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MSFT | @BourbonCap | -0.25 | Sarcastic negative comment about MSFT June dividends. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MSFT | @BourbonCap | -0.25 | MSFT had its worst June in 26 years. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | GEV | @BourbonCap | +0.45 | SGE SA plans to build 14 GEV small modular reactors in the UK. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | META | @BourbonCap | +0.70 | Bullish META thesis across AI cloud, prediction markets, subscriptions and agents at 20x earnings. | -4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | META | @BourbonCap | +0.45 | Highlights META PE lower than McDonald's as valuation support. | -4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | META | @BourbonCap | +0.45 | Says AI outcome is win-win for MSFT and META via cloud or AI investment. | -4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | MSFT | @BourbonCap | +0.45 | Says AI outcome is win-win for MSFT and META via cloud or AI investment. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.