Ticker brief
VALE VALE SA-SP ADR
Basic Materials · Iron/Steel
last close
$12.40
1 day
+1.6%
14 days
-9.0%
mkt cap
$63.8B
signals 14d
19
authors 14d
10
crowd 14d
+0.2σ
Options inteloptions-surface reads · latest available day per source
| metric | reading | context |
|---|---|---|
| IV — ATM 30d | 39% rich · 90 pctile own 1y | IV/HV 1.15× |
| Skew — 25Δ RR 30d | -0.013 73 pctile own 1y | balanced vs own range |
| Net dealer OI (NDOI) | +0.28 thin | 5-session Δ -0.07 (as of 2026-06-30) |
| OI alarm | quiet | last alarm 2024-09-27 (z=3.1) |
Sentiment — last 14 days
daily mean sentiment, 2026-10-02 → 2026-10-15 · now -0.10 (−1 bearish … +1 bullish)
Who spoke10
| author | grade | trader score | signals | mean sent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @StableBread | A | -1.67 | 4 | +0.03 |
| @GDXTrader | C | +0.63 | 4 | +0.43 |
| @Abim4el_Carlos | C | -1.14 | 2 | +0.55 |
| @LorenzoBolsa | B | -0.96 | 2 | +0.38 |
| @MMMTwealth | A | -0.39 | 2 | +0.33 |
| @MikeZaccardi | B | +0.60 | 1 | +0.50 |
| @VolumePrintcess | C | -1.98 | 1 | +0.20 |
| @Trading_Sunset | C | -2.68 | 1 | +0.30 |
| @robertojirusta | C | -0.38 | 1 | +0.45 |
| @tebb29 | C | +0.38 | 1 | -0.20 |
Recent signals19of 19 in 14d — receipts included
| date (PT) | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | @GDXTrader | -0.10 | Author scaled out partial profits but still holds a remainder that may be exited without reversal. | -4.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | @tebb29 | -0.20 | Barclays maintains Equal-Weight on Vale and lowers its target to $15. | -6.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-11 | @MMMTwealth | +0.10 | Presents a multi-sector basket of Brazilian stocks worth monitoring. | -9.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | @MMMTwealth | +0.55 | Argues Brazil wins from both AI infrastructure demand and rotation from expensive US assets. | -7.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @robertojirusta | +0.45 | Documents extraordinary Brazilian trading volume and broad post-election gains. | -12.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @GDXTrader | +0.55 | Reports scaling out one-third of VALE for a realized 6% gain. | -12.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @GDXTrader | +0.60 | Market recap includes two realized trims and a newly initiated AA long-term position. | -12.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @StableBread | +0.05 | Detailed R2 exploration and mine-development thesis highlights high grades, timing, and margin potential. | -12.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @LorenzoBolsa | +0.40 | Builds a bullish Brazil-election framework from historical runoff results. | -12.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @Abim4el_Carlos | +0.60 | Enthusiastically notes Vale shares rising strongly. | -12.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @Trading_Sunset | +0.30 | Premarket strength/weakness list; first six directly named strength tickers retained under the cap. | -12.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @VolumePrintcess | +0.20 | Claims visible informed trading in a Brazil-focused basket but provides no direction or figures. | -12.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @MikeZaccardi | +0.50 | Reports a broad surge across named Brazilian equities. | -12.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-04 | @GDXTrader | +0.65 | Recaps a VALE long entered Friday, now up about 6%, with plans to trim and trail. | -9.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-04 | @LorenzoBolsa | +0.35 | Frames a Bolsonaro fiscal agenda as a multi-year bullish catalyst for Brazilian assets. | -9.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-03 | @StableBread | +0.05 | Assesses mine production, costs, reserves and potential nickel restart against explicit guidance. | -9.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-03 | @StableBread | -0.05 | Analyzes Magna's acquisition economics, mine pipeline, commodity mix and customer concentration. | -9.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-03 | @StableBread | +0.05 | Builds a constructive copper-supply and mine-restart thesis for Magna while highlighting valuation uncertainty. | -9.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-02 | @Abim4el_Carlos | +0.50 | Argues Vale's freight advantage preserves profitability and cash flow even at much lower ore prices. | -9.9% | tweet ↗ |
“Since then” = price move from the close on the signal's date (PT) to the latest close — what happened after they said it, not a backtest. A — means no trading session has closed since the signal yet. Sentiment is our extracted per-tweet score, −1…+1.