Author
@ashtradin ashtradin
grade Cx.com/ashtradin ↗
Transparent retail momentum trader posting fast small-cap chart breakouts and honest recaps
Trades and narrates US small/mid-cap momentum breakouts in r
trader score
-1.42
hit rate
58%
mean α
-0.72%
signals 14d
24
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 19 scored bets: 58% hit rate, -0.72% mean alpha, trader score -1.42. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.6% since posting (mean over 11 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | VIX | @ashtradin | +0.35 | Notes VIX fell from 49 to 20 and is regaining momentum, with further volatility desired. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @ashtradin | · | Believes market fear has not yet reached a sufficient level. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @ashtradin | · | Characterizes the market as difficult sideways chop rather than a crash. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @ashtradin | · | States a twelve-month thesis that the Nasdaq will be meaningfully higher by November 2027. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | QQQ | @ashtradin | -0.65 | Characterizes QQQ as rising slowly but falling abruptly. | -3.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | BTC | @ashtradin | -0.70 | Says Bitcoin is beginning to break down and warns bulls. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | IWM | @ashtradin | -0.65 | Reports IWM is down 10% and says stocks are under pressure. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | QQQ | @ashtradin | +0.35 | Expects QQQ momentum to improve if Bitcoin holds its 50-day moving average and turns higher. | -5.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | · | @ashtradin | · | Expresses strong optimism about rapid AI capability improvement and the industry's early stage. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | QQQ | @ashtradin | +0.35 | The author discloses leveraged QQQ as the primary vehicle used to stay positioned in a difficult market. | -6.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | · | @ashtradin | · | The author says the contrarian pain trade would be a gap higher followed by a sharp rally. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | · | @ashtradin | · | A first test of the 50-day moving average is described as buyable, but the asset is only visible in media. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | IWM | @ashtradin | +0.20 | The author observes IWM bouncing while QQQ remains notably weak. | -0.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | QQQ | @ashtradin | -0.40 | The author observes IWM bouncing while QQQ remains notably weak. | -5.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | IWM | @ashtradin | -0.35 | Bitcoin is testing its 50-day average while IWM makes new lows, signaling divergent weakness. | -0.7% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.