Author
@BitPaine BitPaine
grade Cx.com/BitPaine ↗
Bitcoin-maximalist evangelist with real depth on the MSTR/Saylor treasury flywheel
Posts secular-bull theses on Bitcoin and Bitcoin-treasury eq
trader score
+0.23
hit rate
35%
mean α
+0.14%
signals 14d
116
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, +0.14% mean alpha, trader score +0.23. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +3.7% since posting (mean over 33 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @BitPaine | · | Argues bears are exhausted and have little left to sell. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @BitPaine | · | Mocks oil bulls, expressing a bearish view on oil without a listed ticker. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | BTC | @BitPaine | +0.90 | Forecasts an extended Bitcoin price-discovery regime potentially reaching $450,000. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | BTC | @BitPaine | +0.90 | Predicts imminent Bitcoin supply shock and a market with effectively no asks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MSTR | @BitPaine | +0.65 | Celebrates rapid upward movement in MSTR and ASST. | -7.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | ASST | @BitPaine | +0.65 | Celebrates rapid upward movement in MSTR and ASST. | -6.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @BitPaine | · | Frames patience, conviction and time in the market as superior to expectation-driven timing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @BitPaine | · | Declares the four-year market cycle dead and describes a cycle trap. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @BitPaine | · | Argues Bitcoin market timing risks missing sudden upside and favors staying invested. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MSTR | @BitPaine | +0.75 | Argues MSTR should outperform rising Bitcoin through STRC leverage and rejects holder conflict. | -7.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | STRC | @BitPaine | +0.45 | Argues MSTR should outperform rising Bitcoin through STRC leverage and rejects holder conflict. | -0.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | IBIT | @BitPaine | +0.85 | Discloses bullish LEAP positions bought near the perceived bottom. | -3.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MSTR | @BitPaine | +0.85 | Discloses bullish LEAP positions bought near the perceived bottom. | -7.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | ASST | @BitPaine | +0.85 | Discloses bullish LEAP positions bought near the perceived bottom. | -6.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MSTR | @BitPaine | +0.90 | Strongly rejects MSTR and Bitcoin bear cases at what the author calls the bottom. | -7.3% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.