Author
@BullTheoryio BullTheoryio
grade Cx.com/BullTheoryio ↗
Macro/AI-bubble commentator synthesizing the bull-bear debate with real-time price scorekeeping
Posts long, reasoning-heavy macro and thematic commentary ce
trader score
-1.57
hit rate
40%
mean α
-1.01%
signals 14d
292
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -1.01% mean alpha, trader score -1.57. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.4% since posting (mean over 68 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @BullTheoryio | · | Reports a US-Venezuela oil agreement covering control of 65 billion barrels. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @BullTheoryio | · | Reports US rice at $15/cwt, up 61% in eight months, signaling food inflation. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @BullTheoryio | · | Fed remarks raised September hike odds and triggered a broad multi-asset selloff. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @BullTheoryio | · | Reports presidential figures showing a 33.8% decline in the US trade deficit. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPX | @BullTheoryio | -0.20 | Quantifies sharp intraday S&P swings during the Fed chair's speech. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @BullTheoryio | · | Reports Bitcoin falling $2,000 below $78,000 with $80 million of long liquidations. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @BullTheoryio | · | Reports USDJPY above 160 as hawkish Fed remarks lift US rate expectations. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @BullTheoryio | · | Reports a $500 billion US-stock rebound after no September hike commitment. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @BullTheoryio | · | Summarizes the Fed chair's hawkish inflation and policy remarks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @BullTheoryio | · | Reports a $700 billion precious-metals selloff after hawkish remarks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPX | @BullTheoryio | -0.45 | Hawkish Fed comments on inflation and tightening turned the S&P 500 negative. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | CVX | @BullTheoryio | +0.45 | Reports Chevron and Halliburton nearing Venezuelan oil-field investments. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | HAL | @BullTheoryio | +0.40 | Reports Chevron and Halliburton nearing Venezuelan oil-field investments. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | PYPL | @BullTheoryio | -0.60 | Stripe and Advent reportedly abandoned a $50 billion PayPal buyout pursuit. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @BullTheoryio | · | Argues inflation, yen weakness and debt costs will intensify Japan's bond and currency crisis. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.