Author
@CapitalFaktory CapitalFaktory
grade Ax.com/CapitalFaktory ↗
Bilingual fundamental analyst specializing in moat-rich financial-data and index oligopolies
Writes original long-form fundamental theses on quality comp
trader score
-0.70
hit rate
45%
mean α
-0.53%
signals 14d
23
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.53% mean alpha, trader score -0.70. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.6% since posting (mean over 19 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | NSC | @CapitalFaktory | +0.50 | Reports Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern filing their merger application and detailing claimed efficiencies. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | UNP | @CapitalFaktory | -0.10 | Reports Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern filing their merger application and detailing claimed efficiencies. | -1.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NKE | @CapitalFaktory | +0.75 | Upgrading NKE view to Buy with a $61 target for 2031. — Author raises own NKE rating to Buy and publishes a 2031 price target. | +2.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | AXP | @CapitalFaktory | +0.55 | Long-form research explains Amex's integrated model, premium customers, advantages and risks. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | META | @CapitalFaktory | +0.20 | Reports Meta's $18B settlement and extensive youth-safety restrictions. | +0.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | META | @CapitalFaktory | -0.30 | Bloomberg reports Meta will incur about $10B of Q3 legal expense. | +0.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | META | @CapitalFaktory | +0.20 | Reports Meta agreed to pay $16.7B in a settlement with U.S. states. | +0.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | BABA | @CapitalFaktory | +0.30 | Reports Jack Ma, Joe Tsai and Eddie Wu buying over HK$800M of BABA after a major equity placement. | -0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | · | @CapitalFaktory | · | Reports stable average FICO scores alongside detailed changes in US consumer-credit delinquencies. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | · | @CapitalFaktory | · | Long-form thesis argues scarce sports franchises rationally command large trophy-asset premiums. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | FICO | @CapitalFaktory | -0.20 | Experian initiation argues data reciprocity creates a moat and notes an open competitive conflict with FICO. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-23 | BABA | @CapitalFaktory | -0.45 | Argues BABA was not cheap at $130 even before dilution and investors anchor to old prices. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-23 | BABA | @CapitalFaktory | -0.35 | Says Alibaba issued equity near fair value and criticizes buybacks above $115. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-23 | BABA | @CapitalFaktory | -0.40 | Alibaba proposes a $10.2bn Hong Kong share placement to fund AI investment. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | BABA | @CapitalFaktory | -0.55 | Highlights strong cloud and AI growth but sharply worse operating profit, cash flow and regulatory costs. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.