Author

@capybaraReborn capybaraReborn

Transparent retail SaaS-rerate trader running a tickered, fully-disclosed challenge portfolio

Runs a publicly disclosed 'Challenge portfolio', posting rea

trader score
+1.03
hit rate
60%
mean α
+0.78%
signals 14d
19

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +0.78% mean alpha, trader score +1.03. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.8% since posting (mean over 11 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-03MSTR@capybaraReborn-0.45Discloses holding STRC but says MSTR underrepresented risk sold to retirees.
2026-07-03STRC@capybaraReborn-0.10Discloses holding STRC but says MSTR underrepresented risk sold to retirees.
2026-07-02IREN@capybaraReborn-0.75Says IREN is the obvious loser in the AI race.
2026-07-02MSTR@capybaraReborn+0.15Long thesis about Ethereum DATs, BitMine, MSTR comparison, and ecosystem risk.
2026-07-01STRC@capybaraReborn-0.20Says they should have bought out more distressed STRC using reserve cash.+0.5%
2026-07-01STRC@capybaraReborn+0.00Says what happens to STRC may define short-term crypto trends.+0.5%
2026-06-30SBET@capybaraReborn-0.25Long bearish crypto framework and criticism of ETH DAT/buyback incentives.+10.6%
2026-06-29SBET@capybaraReborn-0.10Says outcome depends on management action; ETH cheap but recovery uncertain.+7.9%
2026-06-29SBET@capybaraReborn-0.40Says days like this killed SBET and let BitMine win.+7.9%
2026-06-29·@capybaraReborn·Criticizes choice of ETH over buybacks for BitMine, but no public ticker named.·
2026-06-29·@capybaraReborn·Says ETH will go up but BitMine faces an important management test.·
2026-06-29·@capybaraReborn·Says management should buy back stock below NAV instead of buying ETH; disappointing.·
2026-06-29·@capybaraReborn·Detailed critique that buying ETH below mNAV is extractive versus stock buybacks.·
2026-06-26BYND@capybaraReborn-0.25Author says BYND needs option gamblers out for long-term success.+7.7%
2026-06-26SBET@capybaraReborn-0.10Discloses long BitMine and argues buybacks can boost ETH/share versus SBET or direct ETH.+10.4%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.