Author
@capybaraReborn capybaraReborn
grade Cx.com/capybaraReborn ↗
Transparent retail SaaS-rerate trader running a tickered, fully-disclosed challenge portfolio
Runs a publicly disclosed 'Challenge portfolio', posting rea
trader score
+1.63
hit rate
55%
mean α
+1.33%
signals 14d
80
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, +1.33% mean alpha, trader score +1.63. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +6.8% since posting (mean over 37 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | IREN | @capybaraReborn | +0.40 | Argues IREN's $2B Q2 ATM issuance was accretive at the current price. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | MSTR | @capybaraReborn | -0.65 | Reports transferring to an MSTR short and closing it earlier today. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | AFRM | @capybaraReborn | +0.85 | Bought 9,000 AFRM shares because earnings were better than the current price implies. — Explicit new 9,000-share purchase supported by a bullish earnings view. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | IREN | @capybaraReborn | +0.85 | Discloses opening a $2M IREN position. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | IREN | @capybaraReborn | +0.70 | Calls IREN underpriced and says earnings negatives were already known. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @capybaraReborn | · | States $4.4M underlying exposure at 2x leverage but omits the asset. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @capybaraReborn | · | Clarifies a $2.2M position accumulated over two days but omits the asset. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | MSTR | @capybaraReborn | -0.80 | Reports closing an MSTR short from $135 to $128 for a $175K gain. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MSTR | @capybaraReborn | -0.80 | Argues weak BTC yield and failed capital actions will send MSTR toward $100-$110. | -7.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MSTR | @capybaraReborn | -0.45 | Sarcastically questions MSTR's 10% rise while Bitcoin is down. | -7.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | BTC | @capybaraReborn | +0.00 | Sarcastically questions MSTR's 10% rise while Bitcoin is down. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MSTR | @capybaraReborn | -0.75 | Attributes the rally to FOMO and forecasts a $110-$120 range next week. | -7.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | BMNR | @capybaraReborn | +0.05 | Says the correlated names share a thesis but MSTR now offers better risk-reward. | -7.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MSTR | @capybaraReborn | +0.45 | Says the correlated names share a thesis but MSTR now offers better risk-reward. | -7.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | BTC | @capybaraReborn | +0.00 | Compares Bitcoin's 1% move with an unidentified asset's 12% rise. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.