Author · brief 2026-06-22

@ConvexDispatch ConvexDispatch

Convexity-seeking thematic bull on crypto-treasury, China AI, and HTZ-as-robotaxi

Posts high-conviction long theses expressed through equities

trader score
-0.91
hit rate
50%
mean α
-1.16%
signals 14d
29

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -1.16% mean alpha, trader score -0.91. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -8.1% since posting (mean over 18 mentions with price data).

China equities and crypto retest adds dominate

ConvexDispatch is constructive on China exposure, especially XPEV and BABA, while also preparing to add aggressively to crypto-linked names on a Bitcoin retest. The distinctive read is tactical: add BABA opportunistically, favor Xpeng in EVs, and wait for BTC weakness before sizing up. No clear flip appears; the week is concentrated in China tech/EV and crypto beta.

Themes2analyst read · 2026-06-22
China internet and EV recovery exposure
bullconsistent9 signals
⚠ 44% of theme signals are BABA — flag pump risk
Crypto retest deployment plan
mixedconsistent10 signals
⚠ 40% of theme signals are AEXA — flag pump risk
Direction this week

The author stayed broadly constructive, with concentration in China equities and a conditional crypto add plan. The only explicit directional actions were adds: BABA opportunistically, plus BTC, MSTR, BMNR, and AEXA if Bitcoin retests 45k-52k. No clear fading or flipping is visible from the supplied signals.

Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
The Luce reveal creates immediate negative trading risk, with several authors expecting RACE to fall at the open.
bearMEDIUM3 co-supporters
The preferred offering is constructive because it funds ETH purchases and staking expansion without common-share dilutio
bullHIGH4 co-supporters
XPeng offers upside optionality from humanoid robots, autonomy, physical AI, and AI-stack partnerships.
bullMEDIUM3 co-supporters
BABA is still materially undervalued, with dip-buyers targeting large upside over multi-year horizons.
bullMEDIUM5 co-supporters
Hertz valuation may understate non-traditional mobility optionality because investors still price it mostly as a rental-
bullMEDIUM2 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-01CCXI@ConvexDispatch+0.35Says CCXI is gaining traction and resurfaces AEXA deep dive, implying constructive interest.·
2026-07-01AEXA@ConvexDispatch+0.25Says CCXI is gaining traction and resurfaces AEXA deep dive, implying constructive interest.·
2026-07-01AEXA@ConvexDispatch+0.45Positive SPAC comparison suggests AEXA could follow CCXI if target is good, with warrant caution.·
2026-07-01CCXI@ConvexDispatch+0.35Positive SPAC comparison suggests AEXA could follow CCXI if target is good, with warrant caution.·
2026-06-30CCXI@ConvexDispatch+0.00AEXA hitting all-time high premarket; author questions catalyst or sympathy bid.·
2026-06-30AEXA@ConvexDispatch+0.20AEXA hitting all-time high premarket; author questions catalyst or sympathy bid.·
2026-06-29HTZ@ConvexDispatch+0.70Added 100 HTZ long LEAPS and 50 AEXA long calls. — Author explicitly added long LEAPS/calls on HTZ and AEXA.-7.8%
2026-06-29AEXA@ConvexDispatch+0.70Added 100 HTZ long LEAPS and 50 AEXA long calls. — Author explicitly added long LEAPS/calls on HTZ and AEXA.·
2026-06-29MSTR@ConvexDispatch+0.25Strategy announced reserve, dividend, buyback and BTC monetization framework.+8.7%
2026-06-29ETH@ConvexDispatch+0.00Strategy announced reserve, dividend, buyback and BTC monetization framework.·
2026-06-29BTC@ConvexDispatch+0.05Strategy announced reserve, dividend, buyback and BTC monetization framework.·
2026-06-29BMNR@ConvexDispatch+0.00Strategy announced reserve, dividend, buyback and BTC monetization framework.+4.1%
2026-06-29STRC@ConvexDispatch+0.45Strategy announced reserve, dividend, buyback and BTC monetization framework.+5.0%
2026-06-29AEXA@ConvexDispatch+0.35Expresses hope another person buys AEXA; bullish but not own trade.·
2026-06-28AEXA@ConvexDispatch-0.10Speculates Chamath may be fundraising for AEXA, stance unclear.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.