Author
@earnings_watch earnings_watch
grade Bx.com/earnings_watch ↗
Disciplined earnings-volatility quant trading implied-vs-realized moves with explicit base rates
Runs daily earnings sessions pricing options-implied moves a
trader score
+0.54
hit rate
60%
mean α
+0.17%
signals 14d
22
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +0.17% mean alpha, trader score +0.54. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.4% since posting (mean over 12 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | NKE | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | NKE earnings options imply 8.9%, near 10Y average, with recent gaps larger. | +7.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | FDS | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | Lists earnings calendar by implied move for June 29 with named tickers. | +7.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | MSM | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | Lists earnings calendar by implied move for June 29 with named tickers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | CNXC | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | Lists earnings calendar by implied move for June 29 with named tickers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | NKE | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | Lists earnings calendar by implied move for June 29 with named tickers. | +8.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | AVAV | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | Lists earnings calendar by implied move for June 29 with named tickers. | +38.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | STZ | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | Lists earnings calendar by implied move for June 29 with named tickers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | CCL | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | Compares options-implied moves to actual weekly moves for several earnings names. | -4.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | TCOM | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | Compares options-implied moves to actual weekly moves for several earnings names. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | MU | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | Compares options-implied moves to actual weekly moves for several earnings names. | -13.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | BB | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | Compares options-implied moves to actual weekly moves for several earnings names. | +1.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | KBH | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | Compares options-implied moves to actual weekly moves for several earnings names. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | FDX | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | Compares options-implied moves to actual weekly moves for several earnings names. | -1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-24 | MU | @earnings_watch | +0.25 | MU pricing ~11% earnings move; history says it can deliver when expectations spike. | -7.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-22 | MU | @earnings_watch | +0.00 | MU has +/-14% implied move versus usual 8% before earnings. | -19.5% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.