Author

@FortuneOptions FortuneOptions

Intraday NQ order-flow trader with a falsifiable DXY/10Y macro overlay

Real-time futures and megacap-tech tape trader who narrates

trader score
+0.14
hit rate
35%
mean α
+0.04%
signals 14d
84

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, +0.04% mean alpha, trader score +0.14. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.0% since posting (mean over 36 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02VIX@FortuneOptions+0.30References 18 VIX as upcoming level.·
2026-07-02·@FortuneOptions·Mentions ES levels 484 and potential down to 454.·
2026-07-02·@FortuneOptions·Says long side is hard today due to call selling and premium burning.·
2026-07-02VIX@FortuneOptions+0.30References move to 18 VIX as shakeout.·
2026-07-02XLK@FortuneOptions+0.00Observes alternating strength between XLK/SMH and mega caps.
2026-07-02SMH@FortuneOptions+0.00Observes alternating strength between XLK/SMH and mega caps.
2026-07-02NQ@FortuneOptions+0.00No longer recommends action after NQ held expected level.·
2026-07-02XLK@FortuneOptions+0.20Notes SMH and XLK green into open while mega caps red.
2026-07-02SMH@FortuneOptions+0.20Notes SMH and XLK green into open while mega caps red.
2026-07-01NQ@FortuneOptions-0.25Notes seller area and 4-hour three-drive pattern on NQ chart.·
2026-07-01NQ@FortuneOptions-0.50buy a lot of puts — Mentions buying puts tied to an obvious monthly NQ pattern.·
2026-07-01·@FortuneOptions·References a trip back to 18 after 16 held, likely VIX levels, but no ticker named.·
2026-07-01XLK@FortuneOptions+0.30Predicts semis and XLK up tomorrow while mega-cap tech fades.-2.7%
2026-07-01SMH@FortuneOptions+0.30Predicts semis and XLK up tomorrow while mega-cap tech fades.-4.5%
2026-07-01·@FortuneOptions·long into the 4th — Suggests going long into July 4th without specifying an instrument.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.