Ticker brief · 2026-07-03
ES EVERSOURCE ENERGY
ES tape split between breakout chase and supply fade
Utilities · Electric
Lean: mixedlast close
$74.44
1 day
+3.1%
14 days
+7.0%
mkt cap
$28.0B
signals 14d
294
authors 14d
49
The tape is mixed, with a slight positive sentiment score but no clean consensus: credible bulls are buying pullbacks toward 7588.50-7615 and July highs, while active bears are fading 7560-7580 supply for a retest of 7518-7545. The late-week shift was bearish: July 2-3 posts concentrated around failed 7600 attempts, weak jobs/economic misses, and fresh short calls. Trade structure is tactical, level-driven, and options-positioning-sensitive rather than a durable fundamental view.
BULL CAMP
Bulls argue ES is still a pullback-buying market as long as key supports hold, with upside targets clustering around 7588.50, 7600, 7615, and possible July new highs near 7770-7800.
Key voices@MrTopStepHIGHB-2.01@vwaptrader1HIGHB+0.76@InvestiBrewMEDIUM-HIGHA-0.54@TicTocTickMEDIUM-HIGHB-0.30@FortuneOptionsMEDIUMC+0.14
“Forward lean is to buy pullbacks, supported by positive first trading day of July seasonality.”— @MrTopStep · tweet ↗
BEAR / SKEPTIC
Bears focus on 7560-7580 supply, rollover from highs, downside targets at 7545 and 7518, plus elevated put skew and hedge demand that could accelerate downside.
Key voices@StratsLabsMEDIUM-HIGHC+2.19@OrderflowESMEDIUMC+0.56@ChandlerTradingMEDIUMC+1.42@julie_wadeMEDIUMB-0.21@OnlyMaxTradesLOW-MEDIUMC+1.09
“Extreme S&P futures put skew implies downside could move 65.6% faster than upside.”— @StratsLabs · tweet ↗
Hypotheses8direction · basis · magnitude · supporters — NEW = first seen this week
▲ES pullbacks remain buyable, with upside targets clustered around 7588.50, 7600, 7615, and July highs near 7770-7800.
@MrTopStepHIGHB-2.012s · insight@vwaptrader1HIGHB+0.761s@InvestiBrewMEDIUM-HIGHA-0.542s · insight@TradewithJade1LOW-MEDIUMC-1.201s@FortuneOptionsMEDIUMC+0.144s@TicTocTickMEDIUM-HIGHB-0.302s · insight+4 more
▼ES is vulnerable to a late-week rollover from 7560-7580 supply toward 7545, 7518, or lower support.
@OnlyMaxTradesLOW-MEDIUMC+1.095s@OrderflowESMEDIUMC+0.562s@algoflowsMEDIUM-HIGHC-1.051s@ChandlerTradingMEDIUMC+1.424s@julie_wadeMEDIUMB-0.212s@FortuneOptionsMEDIUMC+0.142s+3 more
◆Dealer gamma, GEX, and VIX-adjusted ranges are pinning ES into mean reversion rather than a clean trend.
▼Options skew and hedge demand imply asymmetric downside risk, with put demand and short gamma increasing selloff speed.
◆The 7496-7500 support zone is the control level separating bullish recovery from bearish resumption.
@ChandlerTradingMEDIUMC+1.422s@InvestiBrewMEDIUM-HIGHA-0.542s · insight@OrderflowESMEDIUMC+0.561s@FortuneOptionsMEDIUMC+0.142s@PauliWalnutMEDIUM2s@kkernttbMEDIUM-HIGHC+1.421s
◆Macro data, jobs risk, and holiday-week liquidity are driving short-term ES caution despite intermittent risk-on rebounds.
@icooperTradesMEDIUMC+0.764s@K_U_F_SLOW-MEDIUMC+0.912s@DonJamesTradesLOW-MEDIUMC-0.602s@TheTriggerTradeLOW-MEDIUMC+0.322s@PauliWalnutMEDIUM2s
▼A larger correction remains possible, with one author explicitly expecting a 20%+ index drop over coming months.
▲Eversource closing the $2.4B Aquarion Water sale and revising EPS guidance is a positive fundamental catalyst.
@EmmanuelInvestLOW-MEDIUMC-1.121s
Direct calls5authors taking explicit directional positions
@MrTopStepHIGHB-2.01
Overall lean is buying pullbacks.
@vwaptrader1HIGHB+0.76
Looking for ES 7588.50
@OnlyMaxTradesLOW-MEDIUMC+1.09
Short ES at 7560, add 7580, target 7545
@OrderflowESMEDIUMC+0.56
Session lows will continue lower; 7518 coming.
@TradewithJade1LOW-MEDIUMC-1.20
July may make new high: ES 7770-7800, SPX 7700.
News / data points5discrete events + data quoted by authors
@StratsLabsMEDIUM-HIGHC+2.19
Extreme S&P futures put skew implies downside could move 65.6% faster than upside.
@julie_wadeMEDIUMB-0.21
JATS telemetry frames ES in long gamma with mean-reversion and breakout levels.
@DonJamesTradesLOW-MEDIUMC-0.60
Aramco crude loadings resumed, oil losses supported risk tone.
@EmmanuelInvestLOW-MEDIUMC-1.12
Eversource closed $2.4B Aquarion Water sale and revised EPS guidance.
@K_U_F_SLOW-MEDIUMC+0.91
Weekly macro calendar and short holiday week watchlist set event risk.
Position disclosures3skin in the game
@TheTriggerTradeLOW-MEDIUMC+0.32
DVT exited its long and is now flat.
@Cmoney365247LOW-MEDIUMC+0.61
In SPX contracts for Monday using ES chart, without strike or expiry details.
@algoflowsMEDIUM-HIGHC-1.05
Added more ES 73 halves after trimming NQ.
Desk readconvergence assessment
Views are not converged: the same 7500-7600 area is being used by bulls as a dip-buying base and by bears as supply to fade. The bearish camp has strong recent calls but is partly anchored by lower-credibility tactical accounts, while several higher-credibility bullish voices also have negative recent trader_score_20, so neither side has clean smart-money dominance. A sustained hold above 7600-7615 would validate the breakout camp; failure back through 7500 would validate the late-week rollover and put-skew warnings.
Tracked hypotheses — caliber-scored view · 2026-06-22
🟢 HIGH caliber (2)
📈 h3 bull · score 0.54
Dip buyers are defending key demand, VWAP, EMA, and support zones, preserving rebound potential while those levels hold.
- Supporters (7): @juliewade(MEDIUM,1p), @DesiTrade(MEDIUM-,1p), @InvestiBrew↗(MEDIUM-,1p), @TradewithJade1↗(LOW-MED,1p), @OptionsHawk↗(HIGH,1p), +2
- Signals: 7 · Max author share: 0.14 · Novelty: building
- Quote: "ES surged from AVWAP and one-month VWAP support near 7480, with resistance overhead." — OptionsHawk
📈 h2 bull · score 0.46
ES can extend to 7600, new highs, or larger pattern targets if resistance breaks and structure confirms.
- Supporters (7): @PeterLBrandt↗(HIGH,1p), @icooperTrades↗(MEDIUM,4p), @_ColesTrading↗(LOW-MED,2p), @efficientenzyme↗(LOW-MED,1p), @ChandlerTrading↗(MEDIUM,1p), +2
- Signals: 12 · Max author share: 0.36 · Novelty: stable
- Quote: "Expanding triangle work gives ES a target near 7904." — PeterLBrandt
🟡 MEDIUM caliber (6)
📉 h5 bear · score 0.38
Failed demand and lost support levels put ES at risk of downside continuation into the 7500s or below.
- Supporters (6): @julie_wade↗(MEDIUM,1p), @OrderflowES↗(MEDIUM,3p), @ChandlerTrading↗(MEDIUM,1p), @SDCtrader↗(LOW-MED,1p), @FortuneOptions↗(MEDIUM,1p), +1
- Signals: 8 · Max author share: 0.38 · Novelty: building
- Quote: "Downside playbook targets 7503 then 7474 with a defined invalidation zone." — julie_wade
📉 h4 bear · score 0.32
Fed messaging and reduced rate-cut conviction pressure ES as higher-rate risk blurs the bullish macro setup.
- Supporters (3): @icooperTrades↗(MEDIUM,1p), @InvestiBrew↗(MEDIUM-,1p), @julie_wade↗(MEDIUM,1p)
- Signals: 3 · Max author share: 0.33 · Novelty: stable
- Quote: "Fed reaction saw a slight drop as more board members considered a hike this year." — icooperTrades
📉 h6 bear · score 0.30
COT, dealer gamma, OPEX, and triple-witching flows create a historically bearish or unstable ES setup.
- Supporters (3): @InvestiBrew↗(MEDIUM-,1p), @MrTopStep↗(HIGH,2p), @julie_wade↗(MEDIUM,1p)
- Signals: 5 · Max author share: 0.50 · Novelty: building
- Quote: "COT and dealer gamma models point to a historically bearish S&P setup." — InvestiBrew
↔️ h7 neutral · score 0.27
ES remains a tactical range market where traders should wait for level confirmation instead of forcing direction.
- Supporters (5): @icooperTrades↗(MEDIUM,2p), @ChandlerTrading↗(MEDIUM,2p), @juliewade(MEDIUM,4p), @DesiTrade(MEDIUM-,1p), @OrderflowES↗(MEDIUM,1p)
- Signals: 10 · Max author share: 0.40 · Novelty: building
- Quote: "SP500 and Nasdaq sit near key levels, leaving direction roughly balanced." — icooperTrades
↔️ h8 neutral · score 0.24
Late-week holiday and early-close conditions reduce signal quality, making ES action less reliable for directional inference.
- Supporters (3): @icooperTrades↗(MEDIUM,1p), @DonJamesTrades↗(LOW-MED,1p), @InvestiBrew↗(MEDIUM-,1p)
- Signals: 3 · Max author share: 0.33 · Novelty: new
- Quote: "ES and NQ were slightly down overnight in low-volume holiday conditions." — icooperTrades
📈 h1 bull · score 0.15
Middle East de-escalation and peace-deal headlines can support risk-on buying in ES, though follow-through remains uncertain.
- Supporters (3): @icooperTrades↗(MEDIUM,2p), @DonJamesTrades↗(LOW-MED,1p), @julie_wade↗(MEDIUM,1p)
- Signals: 4 · Max author share: 0.50 · Novelty: stable
- ⚠️ Concentration: 50% from @icoopertrades↗ MEDIUM cred
- Quote: "Peace-deal rally creates bias for more upside and possible new highs, with caution." — icooperTrades
🔴 FLAGGED caliber (1)
⚠️ h9 flag · score 0.06
Some traders are promoting single-account short setups or fade attempts against ES strength, but evidence is concentrated.
- Supporters (3): @SDCtrader↗(LOW-MED,1p), @OnlyMaxTrades↗(LOW-MED,1p), @SharkTrading(LOW-MED,1p)
- Signals: 3 · Max author share: 0.33 · Novelty: stable
- Quote: "Forward short setup defines entry, add level, and target." — OnlyMaxTrades
Sentiment — last 14 days
daily mean sentiment, 2026-06-19 → 2026-07-03 · now -0.10 (−1 bearish … +1 bullish)
Who spoke49
| author | grade | trader score | signals | mean sent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @julie_wade | B | -0.21 | 33 | -0.03 |
| @FortuneOptions | C | +0.14 | 29 | +0.07 |
| @scetrader | C | -1.51 | 17 | +0.05 |
| @icooperTrades | C | +0.76 | 16 | -0.14 |
| @MrTopStep | B | -2.01 | 16 | +0.19 |
| @OrderflowES | C | +0.56 | 15 | -0.10 |
| @OnlyMaxTrades | C | +1.09 | 14 | -0.33 |
| @narrgis007 | C | -1.73 | 12 | +0.14 |
| @dafster17 | C | +0.18 | 11 | +0.22 |
| @DonJamesTrades | C | -0.60 | 10 | +0.14 |
| @_ColesTrading | C | +1.88 | 9 | +0.24 |
| @TheTriggerTrade | C | +0.32 | 9 | +0.04 |
| @ChandlerTrading | C | +1.42 | 9 | -0.26 |
| @SDCtrader | C | -0.71 | 8 | -0.12 |
| @InvestiBrew | A | -0.54 | 8 | +0.09 |
| @KCTrades777 | C | +1.00 | 7 | -0.08 |
| @Blair519 | C | +1.18 | 6 | +0.06 |
| @TradewithJade1 | C | -1.20 | 6 | +0.33 |
| @TradeWithSonic | C | +0.81 | 5 | -0.05 |
| @TicTocTick | B | -0.30 | 5 | +0.21 |
| @CoreyCicero | C | -0.66 | 4 | -0.11 |
| @J_Davis132 | C | +0.72 | 4 | -0.49 |
| @PauliWalnut | · | · | 4 | +0.11 |
| @K_U_F_S | C | +0.91 | 3 | +0.12 |
| @Desi_Trade | C | -1.84 | 3 | -0.03 |
Recent signals30of 294 in 14d — receipts included
| date (PT) | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | @Cmoney365247 | +0.00 | Discloses being in SPX contracts for Monday using ES chart, without strike/expiry details. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | @CoreyCicero | -0.20 | Agrees on SPY/ES futures and says no more corporate surprises, but context is limited. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @OnlyMaxTrades | -0.70 | Short ES at 7560, add 7580, target 7545 — Explicit short setup with entry, add and target levels. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @TradeWithSonic | -0.10 | SPX recap cites positive and negative GEX levels and intraday slide. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @TradewithJade1 | +0.30 | Reports ES hit demand zone and popped over $65 for over $3K profit per contract. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @InvestiBrew | +0.35 | Says close above 7500 restores upper profile and 7615 next week is possible. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @OnlyMaxTrades | -0.50 | Recaps today's ES 7570 short as a missed move. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @OnlyMaxTrades | -0.50 | Recaps short call at 7570 selling to 7480. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @TradewithJade1 | -0.20 | Reports taking profit on calls and switching to puts after ES hit supply zone. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @narrgis007 | +0.20 | Mentions possible green close with index levels 7569/7612. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @narrgis007 | +0.00 | Lists index chart levels while saying ES is moving in megaphones. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @icooperTrades | -0.15 | Weak jobs number and selloff reported, with chart levels still key. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @InvestiBrew | -0.35 | Discusses ES/SPX 7500 and 7580 levels and possible move lower next week. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @dafster17 | -0.45 | Past warning to trim and set stops before a later selloff. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @DonJamesTrades | +0.00 | Reminder of early equity futures close and restart times for holiday schedule. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @Arya__Deniz | +0.45 | Claims the monthly bottom is in for ES and NQ while Asian indices may weaken further. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @cfaryanoconnell | +0.10 | Says Micron waking up at 990 could save the day. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @TicTocTick | +0.15 | Mentions MU at 990 and ES/MU levels needed to save the day. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @CoreyCicero | -0.15 | May switch from ES to NQ because NQ has cleaner setups amid ES/NQ dislocation. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @OrderflowES | -0.65 | Session lows will continue lower; 7518 coming. — Explicit forward bearish continuation target for ES. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @TicTocTick | +0.35 | Wants 7600 amid complaint about sellers; broad bullish index tone. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @julie_wade | -0.55 | ES sold off, retraced to dynamic mean, and is resuming new downtrend after economic misses. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @OrderflowES | +0.20 | Recaps S&P up 250 handles from previously given low. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @OnlyMaxTrades | +0.00 | Says ES 7552 hit and congratulates traders, implying completed target. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @TicTocTick | +0.20 | Reports ES 7600 now trading. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @scetrader | +0.00 | Mentions 0DTE option combination bias for major indices. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @TradewithJade1 | +0.30 | Mentions nice overnight long and asks if upside target hits; recap context dominates. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @Blair519 | +0.00 | Chart-only ES and SPX post with no standalone stance. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @OnlyMaxTrades | -0.60 | Short ES at 7570. — Explicit forward short call on ES at 7570. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | @julie_wade | +0.45 | Reports ES moved straight to 3 sigma of VIX-isomorphic range. | — | tweet ↗ |
“Since then” = price move from the close on the signal's date (PT) to the latest close — what happened after they said it, not a backtest. A — means no trading session has closed since the signal yet. Sentiment is our extracted per-tweet score, −1…+1.