Author

@jaymesrosenthal jaymesrosenthal

Position-transparent macro-to-crypto trader chaining rates regime reads into Hyperliquid and AI bets

Posts high-conviction directional calls and macro/thematic f

trader score
-0.63
hit rate
40%
mean α
-0.61%
signals 14d
70

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -0.61% mean alpha, trader score -0.63. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.7% since posting (mean over 24 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02PURR@jaymesrosenthal+0.65Discloses sizable long PURR/HypeStrat holding and belief PURR will outperform HYPE.
2026-07-02HYPE@jaymesrosenthal+0.10Discloses sizable long PURR/HypeStrat holding and belief PURR will outperform HYPE.·
2026-07-02·@jaymesrosenthal·Raises risk question that China could crash the AI trade, but no ticker-specific stance.·
2026-07-01ANSEM@jaymesrosenthal+0.55Says the clear play was/is holding ANSEM into a stream and wonders if it can sustain a run.·
2026-07-01·@jaymesrosenthal·States interest rate volatility is compressing for the next move.·
2026-07-01SPX@jaymesrosenthal+0.85SPX will double by 2030. — Explicit bullish long-term forecast that SPX doubles by 2030.·
2026-07-01PLTR@jaymesrosenthal+0.65Says Alex Karp is exactly who he would want to bet on.+2.8%
2026-06-30VIX@jaymesrosenthal-0.25Cites post saying VIX reflexivity is not showing concern until midterm period.·
2026-06-30·@jaymesrosenthal·References clip about memory requirements for individuals.·
2026-06-30ANSEM@jaymesrosenthal+0.85Bid the dip in ANSEM as BTC starts bidding tomorrow. — Urges buying ANSEM dip into anticipated episode with BTC expected to bid.·
2026-06-30BTC@jaymesrosenthal+0.60Bid the dip in ANSEM as BTC starts bidding tomorrow. — Urges buying ANSEM dip into anticipated episode with BTC expected to bid.·
2026-06-30BTC@jaymesrosenthal+0.80Explicit bullish forecast that BTC will fly in July.·
2026-06-30LLY@jaymesrosenthal+0.75Just buy LLY — Explicit buy call on LLY based on personal product experience.+1.2%
2026-06-30BTC@jaymesrosenthal-0.35Mocks Bitcoin store-of-value demand, implying weak buying interest.·
2026-06-30BTC@jaymesrosenthal-0.15Speculates Saylor may have sold BTC and bought preferreds to explain Strategy complex price action.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.