Author

@juanbiter juanbiter

Disciplined Spanish-language Bitcoin cycle analyst tracking flows, treasury reflexivity, and macro catalysts

Provides ongoing Bitcoin cycle analysis blending on-chain fl

trader score
+0.11
hit rate
55%
mean α
+0.14%
signals 14d
18

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 11 scored bets: 55% hit rate, +0.14% mean alpha, trader score +0.11. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -12.7% since posting (mean over 5 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@juanbiter·Promotes a discussion of a Bitcoin trend change and investment positioning for the rest of 2026.·
2026-08-27BTC@juanbiter+0.75Buy Bitcoin on a retest of the short-term-holder level. — Calls a short-term-holder retest a good Bitcoin buying point within an uptrend.·
2026-08-25STRC@juanbiter+0.25Details Strategy's cash pools, aggressive MSTR issuance, STRC repurchase, and funds available for Bitcoin purchases.+0.2%
2026-08-25MSTR@juanbiter+0.35Details Strategy's cash pools, aggressive MSTR issuance, STRC repurchase, and funds available for Bitcoin purchases.+0.4%
2026-08-24BTC@juanbiter-0.15Notes short-term holders selling BTC to ETF buyers while market makers position bearishly.·
2026-08-24BTC@juanbiter+0.70Argues possible TGA liquidity injections resemble QE and are bullish for Bitcoin, though unofficial.·
2026-08-21·@juanbiter·Says Bitcoin above $67K for more than a week would confirm an on-chain trend reversal after reaching $79.2K.·
2026-08-21·@juanbiter·Reports $4.66B of bearish crypto positions liquidated in three days, signaling a market reset.·
2026-08-20BTC@juanbiter+0.85Says seven days above the STH level confirms a bullish Bitcoin trend change.·
2026-08-19BTC@juanbiter+0.60Calls the president's consideration of major Bitcoin purchases bullish, though uncertain.·
2026-08-19·@juanbiter·Discloses closing industry futures positions while retaining spot holdings.·
2026-08-19·@juanbiter·Sees a bullish bias into a Trump crypto meeting but expects expectations to fade later.·
2026-08-18BTC@juanbiter+0.05Explains a SEC crypto proposal and schedules the Clarity Act cloture vote·
2026-08-17BTC@juanbiter+0.15SOPR becomes the fourth of nine indicators suggesting a Bitcoin low as volume and volatility contract.·
2026-08-17STRC@juanbiter+0.15Strategy sold MSTR shares to repurchase STRC, pay dividends and increase cash reserves, diluting MSTR holders.+3.1%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.