Author

@KGBULLANDBEAR KGBULLANDBEAR

Named cross-asset macro-technician posting daily index levels and intermarket commodity/rates theses

Provides daily technical levels (heavily SPX) and cross-asse

trader score
-0.47
hit rate
50%
mean α
-0.44%
signals 14d
15

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 6 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.44% mean alpha, trader score -0.47.

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16·@KGBULLANDBEAR·Observes that market volatility is beginning to rise.·
2026-10-16·@KGBULLANDBEAR·Price action suggests elevated event risk over the coming weekend.·
2026-10-15·@KGBULLANDBEAR·Intermediate-demand service prices rose 6.3% year over year as firms passed through costs.·
2026-10-15·@KGBULLANDBEAR·Unprocessed intermediate-goods prices rose 21.5% year over year, exceeding May's 20.5%.·
2026-10-14·@KGBULLANDBEAR·Notes a continuing strong correlation between tanker rates and the 10-year Treasury.·
2026-10-14RUT@KGBULLANDBEAR-0.55Reports the Russell 2000 entering correction territory.·
2026-10-14·@KGBULLANDBEAR·Reuters reports a second commercial vessel sinking near Hormuz within 24 hours.·
2026-10-09·@KGBULLANDBEAR·Reuters reports OFAC issued a temporary license allowing Russian diesel supply to the global market.·
2026-10-07VIX@KGBULLANDBEAR+0.20Vol-of-vol hit its second-lowest level of the year; author expects options activity to increase.·
2026-10-06·@KGBULLANDBEAR·States that the trade deficit is widening rather than narrowing.·
2026-10-06·@KGBULLANDBEAR·WTI is testing a trendline from July lows and sits $2 from February anchored VWAP.·
2026-10-06ES_F@KGBULLANDBEAR+0.00Reports a 60% increase in E-mini S&P 500 bid-side book depth from Friday to Monday.·
2026-10-05·@KGBULLANDBEAR·Strong breadth and futures depth are cited as a setup for equal-weight S&P 500 follow-through.·
2026-10-05·@KGBULLANDBEAR·S&P 500 Equal Weight is approaching a first-stage bullish daily MACD crossover.·
2026-10-05·@KGBULLANDBEAR·Reports refinery utilization higher than at the same point in any of the prior ten years.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.